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Ligue 2
Referee: M Bollengier
Laval
T T S T S
0–2
Full-time
Bastia
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 15%
17%
12%
Points per game
0,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
33%
24%
Both score Ø 34%
39%
29%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
4 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 18
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 17. · Bastia 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 18 11 5 2 +15 38
2 Reims 18 9 5 4 +13 32
3 St Etienne 18 9 4 5 +10 31
4 Le Mans 18 8 7 3 +5 31
5 Dunkerque 18 8 6 4 +12 30
6 Red Star 17 8 5 4 +5 29
7 Pau FC 18 7 6 5 -2 27
8 Guingamp 18 7 5 6 -2 26
9 Montpellier 18 7 4 7 +0 25
10 Annecy 18 6 4 8 +2 22
11 Clermont 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Rodez 18 5 7 6 -5 22
13 Grenoble 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Nancy 18 6 3 9 -6 21
15 Amiens 18 5 3 10 -6 18
16 Boulogne 18 4 4 10 -11 16
17 Laval 18 3 6 9 -12 15
18 Bastia 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Bastia
10′
🟨 Jeremy Sebas
Cyril Mandouki 🟨
41′
Sam Sanna 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Alexandre Bi Zaouai
62′
J. Sebas 0–1
A. Zaouai
T. Vargas 🔁
↦ C. Mandouki
68′
E. Clavreul 🔁
↦ E. Maddy
68′
M. Camara 🔁
↦ J. Maggiotti
68′
70′
🔁 T. Meynadier
↦ A. Aiki
Mamadou Camara 🟨
71′
M. Tchokounte 🔁
↦ Y. Tavares
75′
76′
F. Tomi 0–2
M. Sellouki 🔁
↦ T. Dago
80′
82′
🔁 C. Vincent
↦ J. Sebas
William Bianda 🟨
85′
91′
🔁 V. Lebas da Silva
↦ F. Tomi
Ethan Clavreul 🟨
95′
Mamadou Samassa 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Tom Meynadier
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Laval

5-4-1
30 M. Samassa G
6 S. Sanna D
4 P. Ouaneh D
23 Y. Tavares D
3 W. Bianda D
35 L. Samb D
34 E. Maddy M
14 C. Mandouki M
26 W. Benard M
28 J. Maggiotti M
11 T. Dago
Bench (7)
1 M. Hautbois
21 Y. Aradj
7 T. Vargas
20 E. Clavreul
10 M. Sellouki
9 M. Camara
18 M. Tchokounte

Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Bastia

4-3-3
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
6 D. Guidi D
4 A. Roncaglia D
5 Z. Ariss D
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
9 F. Tomi M
25 A. Aiki F
14 J. Sebas F
18 A. Zaouai F
Bench (7)
23 J. Fabri
28 G. Akueson
35 V. Lebas da Silva
24 T. Meynadier
33 M. Petrignani
7 C. Vincent
27 Z. Beltaief

Coach: Michel Moretti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
U
2,85
B ✓
3,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,71
U2,5 ✓
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.