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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Rodez
U S S U U
2–1
Full-time
Troyes
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,5
4,2
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 49%
38%
59%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 64%
69%
59%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
20 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 7
8 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rodez 6. · Troyes 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 29 17 7 5 +21 58
2 St Etienne 30 17 6 7 +22 57
3 Le Mans 30 14 12 4 +16 54
4 Reims 30 12 12 6 +15 48
5 Red Star 29 13 9 7 +6 48
6 Rodez 29 11 12 6 +2 45
7 Montpellier 30 12 8 10 +8 44
8 Annecy 30 12 7 11 +2 43
9 Pau FC 30 11 9 10 -7 42
10 Dunkerque 30 10 10 10 +8 40
11 Guingamp 30 10 10 10 -3 40
12 Boulogne 30 9 9 12 -8 36
13 Grenoble 30 6 14 10 -7 32
14 Clermont 30 7 9 14 -7 30
15 Nancy 30 7 9 14 -16 30
16 Laval 30 4 13 13 -17 25
17 Amiens 30 6 6 18 -18 24
18 Bastia 29 3 12 14 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Troyes
3′
M. Adeline 0–1
10′
🟨 Martin Adeline
Jean Lambert Evan's Allan 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Saka
54′
I. Balde 🔁
↦ K. Nagera
63′
S. Benchamma 🔁
↦ A. Trouillet
71′
O. Joly 🔁
↦ M. Saka
72′
2–1 T. Arconte
72′
73′
🔁 Y. Titi
↦ L. Maronnier
73′
🔁 M. Ifnaoui
↦ M. Detourbet
81′
🔁 A. Phliponeau
↦ A. Mille
81′
🔁 R. Ripart
↦ M. Diop
82′
🟨 Renaud Ripart
C. Jolibois 🔁
↦ E. Jean-Lambert
85′
M. Baaloudj 🔁
↦ T. Arconte
86′
87′
🔁 M. El Idrissy
↦ K. Diawara
89′
🟨 Mounaim El Idrissy
89′
🟨 Mounaim El Idrissy
89′
🟥 Mounaim El Idrissy
Clément Jolibois 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
1 Q. Braat G
25 N. Galves D
24 L. Laurent
4 M. Magnin D
3 R. Lipinski D
15 E. Jean-Lambert D
8 W. Younoussa M
27 A. Trouillet M
28 M. Saka M
9 K. Nagera F
11 T. Arconte F
Bench (7)
30 E. Crombez
10 M. Baaloudj
13 C. Issanchou Roubiou
22 O. Joly
26 S. Benchamma
18 I. Balde
5 C. Jolibois

Coach: Didier Santini

Troyes

4-1-4-1
40 H. Konate G
2 L. Maronnier D
6 A. Monfray D
38 S. Diawara D
14 I. Boura D
8 M. Diop M
29 K. Diawara M
17 A. Mille M
5 M. Adeline M
11 M. Detourbet M
21 T. Bentayeb F
Bench (7)
26 A. Phliponeau
44 Y. Titi
10 M. Ifnaoui
20 R. Ripart
9 M. El Idrissy
3 A. Ouzenadji
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,31
U
3,44
B
2,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.