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Ligue 2

Referee: R Buquet

Troyes

S T U S U

2–3

Full-time

Rodez

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Rodez

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 33%

28%

38%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

48%

62%

Both score Ø 64%

55%

72%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 8

3 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 15. · Rodez 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	29	15	10	4	+25	55
2	St Etienne	30	15	6	9	+15	51
3	Angers	29	15	5	9	+10	50
4	Laval	29	13	9	7	+6	48
5	Rodez	29	11	10	8	+7	43
6	Guingamp	29	11	9	9	+6	42
7	Paris FC	29	11	9	9	+4	42
8	Caen	29	12	6	11	+2	42
9	Amiens	29	10	12	7	-1	42
10	Grenoble	29	10	10	9	+3	40
11	Pau FC	29	10	10	9	+0	40
12	Bordeaux	29	10	8	11	-5	38
13	Ajaccio	29	10	8	11	-5	38
14	Dunkerque	29	10	7	12	-11	37
15	Troyes	29	8	11	10	-3	35
16	Bastia	29	9	7	13	-8	34
17	Concarneau	29	9	6	14	-10	33
18	Annecy	29	7	9	13	-7	30
19	Quevilly Rouen	29	5	13	11	-3	28
20	Valenciennes	30	2	11	17	-25	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	15	11	2	2	+14	35
2	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+14	29
3	Ajaccio	14	8	5	1	+11	29
4	Rodez	14	7	5	2	+10	26
5	Bordeaux	14	7	4	3	+6	25
6	Caen	14	7	3	4	+8	24
7	St Etienne	15	7	3	5	+7	24
8	Bastia	15	7	3	5	-2	24
9	Troyes	14	7	2	5	+5	23
10	Grenoble	14	6	5	3	+5	23
11	Pau FC	15	6	5	4	+4	23
12	Amiens	15	5	8	2	+3	23
13	Paris FC	15	6	4	5	+5	22
14	Guingamp	14	5	5	4	+6	20
15	Laval	15	5	5	5	-4	20
16	Annecy	15	3	6	6	-5	15
17	Concarneau	14	4	3	7	-7	15
18	Dunkerque	15	4	3	8	-10	15
19	Quevilly Rouen	14	2	6	6	-3	12
20	Valenciennes	15	1	6	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	14	8	4	2	+10	28
2	St Etienne	15	8	3	4	+8	27
3	Auxerre	14	7	5	2	+11	26
4	Guingamp	15	6	4	5	+0	22
5	Dunkerque	14	6	4	4	-1	22
6	Paris FC	14	5	5	4	-1	20
7	Amiens	14	5	4	5	-4	19
8	Concarneau	15	5	3	7	-3	18
9	Caen	15	5	3	7	-6	18
10	Grenoble	15	4	5	6	-2	17
11	Rodez	15	4	5	6	-3	17
12	Pau FC	14	4	5	5	-4	17
13	Quevilly Rouen	15	3	7	5	+0	16
14	Annecy	14	4	3	7	-2	15
15	Angers	14	4	3	7	-4	15
16	Bordeaux	15	3	4	8	-11	13
17	Troyes	15	1	9	5	-8	12
18	Bastia	14	2	4	8	-6	10
19	Ajaccio	15	2	3	10	-16	9
20	Valenciennes	15	1	5	9	-15	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.