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Ligue 2

Referee: M Leleu

Montpellier

T U S S U

2–2

Full-time

Troyes

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 52%

43%

61%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

25%

54%

Both score Ø 47%

36%

57%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 9

3 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 7. · Troyes 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	28	17	6	5	+21	57
2	St Etienne	28	16	5	7	+21	53
3	Le Mans	28	13	11	4	+12	50
4	Reims	28	12	10	6	+15	46
5	Red Star	28	12	9	7	+5	45
6	Rodez	29	11	12	6	+2	45
7	Montpellier	28	12	6	10	+8	42
8	Annecy	29	12	6	11	+2	42
9	Dunkerque	29	10	10	9	+9	40
10	Guingamp	29	10	9	10	-3	39
11	Pau FC	28	10	9	9	-4	39
12	Boulogne	28	9	7	12	-8	34
13	Grenoble	29	6	13	10	-7	31
14	Clermont	29	7	8	14	-7	29
15	Nancy	28	7	7	14	-16	28
16	Amiens	29	6	6	17	-17	24
17	Laval	29	4	12	13	-17	24
18	Bastia	28	3	12	13	-16	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	15	12	1	2	+18	37
2	St Etienne	14	9	2	3	+18	29
3	Le Mans	14	7	5	2	+7	26
4	Reims	13	7	3	3	+9	24
5	Montpellier	14	7	3	4	+7	24
6	Annecy	14	6	5	3	+7	23
7	Dunkerque	15	5	7	3	+8	22
8	Rodez	14	5	7	2	+3	22
9	Guingamp	15	6	4	5	-2	22
10	Grenoble	15	4	9	2	-1	21
11	Red Star	14	5	6	3	-2	21
12	Pau FC	15	4	5	6	-5	17
13	Clermont	14	4	4	6	+0	16
14	Boulogne	14	4	2	8	-8	14
15	Nancy	14	4	2	8	-10	14
16	Bastia	14	2	5	7	-10	11
17	Laval	14	1	6	7	-9	9
18	Amiens	14	2	3	9	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	14	7	3	4	+7	24
2	Le Mans	14	6	6	2	+5	24
3	St Etienne	14	7	3	4	+3	24
4	Rodez	15	6	5	4	-1	23
5	Reims	15	5	7	3	+6	22
6	Pau FC	13	6	4	3	+1	22
7	Troyes	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Boulogne	14	5	5	4	+0	20
9	Annecy	15	6	1	8	-5	19
10	Dunkerque	14	5	3	6	+1	18
11	Montpellier	14	5	3	6	+1	18
12	Guingamp	14	4	5	5	-1	17
13	Amiens	15	4	3	8	-7	15
14	Laval	15	3	6	6	-8	15
15	Nancy	14	3	5	6	-6	14
16	Clermont	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Grenoble	14	2	4	8	-6	10
18	Bastia	14	1	7	6	-6	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.