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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Rodez
T T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Troyes
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 71%
71%
71%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
19 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 6. · Troyes 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 7 5 1 1 +5 16
2 Grenoble 7 3 4 0 +4 13
3 Amiens 7 4 1 2 +1 13
4 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12
5 Auxerre 7 3 3 1 +5 12
6 Rodez 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Angers 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 St Etienne 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Guingamp 7 3 1 3 +5 10
10 Annecy 7 2 4 1 +3 10
11 Bordeaux 6 3 1 2 -1 10
12 Ajaccio 7 2 3 2 -4 9
13 Bastia 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Pau FC 7 2 2 3 -4 8
15 Troyes 7 1 4 2 +0 7
16 Paris FC 7 2 0 5 -3 6
17 Dunkerque 7 1 3 3 -4 6
18 Valenciennes 7 1 3 3 -6 6
19 Concarneau 7 1 2 4 -6 5
20 Quevilly Rouen 7 0 2 5 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Troyes
10′
🟨 Tanguy Zoukrou
Joris Chougrani 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Corredor
52′
58′
🔁 R. Saïd
↦ K. Dong
A. Hountondji 🔁
↦ T. Arconte
68′
A. Abdallah 🔁
↦ R. Lipinski
69′
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ L. Rajot
76′
2–0 L. Buadés
78′
86′
🟨 Mouhamed Diop
K. Boma 🔁
↦ L. Buadés
87′
A. Valério 🔁
↦ W. Taïbi
87′
94′
X. Chavalerin 2–1
L. Ilić
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
21 J. Chougrani D
19 L. Buadés M
10 W. Taïbi M
24 G. Haag M
8 L. Rajot M
3 R. Lipinski M
12 K. Corredor F
22 T. Arconte F
Bench (7)
17 A. Hountondji
28 A. Abdallah
7 W. Younoussa
5 K. Boma
18 A. Valério
25 C. Dépres
1 S. Cibois

Coach: D. Santini

Troyes

4-3-3
16 N. Lemaître G
18 T. Baldé D
22 T. Zoukrou D
3 A. N'Diaye D
8 I. Boura D
28 M. Diop M
21 L. Ilić M
24 X. Chavalerin M
27 K. Dong F
40 J. Assoumou F
23 J. Olaïtan F
Bench (7)
11 R. Saïd
32 M. Hamdi
42 A. Kanté
1 C. Michel
5 M. Tahrat
10 Y. M'Changama
34 A. Lefebvre

Coach: P. Kisnorbo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,92
U
3,56
B
3,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.