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Ligue 2

Referee: A Taleb

Troyes

U S S S S

5–1

Full-time

Dunkerque

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 48%

59%

37%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 58%

56%

59%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

5 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Troyes 1. · Dunkerque 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	27	16	6	5	+17	54
2	St Etienne	27	15	5	7	+17	50
3	Le Mans	28	13	11	4	+12	50
4	Red Star	27	12	8	7	+5	44
5	Rodez	28	11	11	6	+2	44
6	Reims	27	11	10	6	+13	43
7	Montpellier	28	12	6	10	+8	42
8	Dunkerque	27	10	9	8	+13	39
9	Annecy	27	11	6	10	+5	39
10	Guingamp	27	10	9	8	+0	39
11	Pau FC	28	10	9	9	-4	39
12	Boulogne	28	9	7	12	-8	34
13	Grenoble	28	6	12	10	-7	30
14	Clermont	28	7	7	14	-7	28
15	Nancy	28	7	7	14	-16	28
16	Amiens	28	6	5	17	-17	23
17	Laval	28	4	11	13	-17	23
18	Bastia	27	3	11	13	-16	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	14	11	1	2	+14	34
2	St Etienne	13	8	2	3	+14	26
3	Le Mans	14	7	5	2	+7	26
4	Reims	13	7	3	3	+9	24
5	Montpellier	14	7	3	4	+7	24
6	Rodez	14	5	7	2	+3	22
7	Guingamp	14	6	4	4	+0	22
8	Dunkerque	14	5	6	3	+8	21
9	Annecy	13	5	5	3	+6	20
10	Grenoble	14	4	8	2	-1	20
11	Red Star	13	5	5	3	-2	20
12	Pau FC	15	4	5	6	-5	17
13	Clermont	14	4	4	6	+0	16
14	Boulogne	14	4	2	8	-8	14
15	Nancy	14	4	2	8	-10	14
16	Bastia	13	2	4	7	-10	10
17	Laval	14	1	6	7	-9	9
18	Amiens	14	2	3	9	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	14	7	3	4	+7	24
2	Le Mans	14	6	6	2	+5	24
3	St Etienne	14	7	3	4	+3	24
4	Pau FC	13	6	4	3	+1	22
5	Rodez	14	6	4	4	-1	22
6	Troyes	13	5	5	3	+3	20
7	Boulogne	14	5	5	4	+0	20
8	Reims	14	4	7	3	+4	19
9	Annecy	14	6	1	7	-1	19
10	Dunkerque	13	5	3	5	+5	18
11	Montpellier	14	5	3	6	+1	18
12	Guingamp	13	4	5	4	+0	17
13	Nancy	14	3	5	6	-6	14
14	Amiens	14	4	2	8	-7	14
15	Laval	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Clermont	14	3	3	8	-7	12
17	Grenoble	14	2	4	8	-6	10
18	Bastia	14	1	7	6	-6	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.