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Serie B
Spal
T U U U T
3–2
Full-time
Vicenza
T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Vicenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

26 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spal 14. · Vicenza 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 5 4 1 0 +6 13
2 Cittadella 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Salernitana 4 2 2 0 +4 8
4 Venezia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Frosinone 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Reggina 4 1 3 0 +2 6
8 Lecce 4 1 2 1 -1 5
9 Reggiana 4 1 1 2 +0 4
10 Cosenza 4 0 4 0 +0 4
11 Brescia 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Ascoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Monza 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Spal 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Pordenone 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Cremonese 4 0 3 1 -2 3
17 Virtus Entella 4 0 3 1 -2 3
18 Pisa 5 0 3 2 -5 3
19 Vicenza 3 0 2 1 -1 2
20 Pescara 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,21
B
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.