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Serie B

Ascoli

S S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Cittadella

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 35%

28%

42%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

39%

33%

Both score Ø 48%

53%

42%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

12 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 9

16 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 16. · Cittadella 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	36	18	16	2	+34	70
2	Salernitana	36	17	12	7	+7	63
3	Lecce	36	16	13	7	+22	61
4	Monza	36	16	13	7	+17	61
5	Venezia	36	15	12	9	+14	57
6	Cittadella	36	15	11	10	+15	56
7	Chievo	36	12	14	10	+8	50
8	Brescia	36	13	11	12	+5	50
9	Spal	36	12	14	10	+0	50
10	Reggina	36	12	13	11	+1	49
11	Frosinone	36	11	13	12	-8	46
12	Cremonese	36	11	12	13	+0	45
13	Pisa	36	10	15	11	-5	45
14	Vicenza	36	10	14	12	-6	44
15	Pordenone	36	9	14	13	-1	41
16	Ascoli	36	10	11	15	-10	41
17	Cosenza	36	6	17	13	-13	35
18	Reggiana	36	9	7	20	-24	34
19	Pescara	36	7	11	18	-25	32
20	Virtus Entella	36	4	11	21	-31	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	18	10	8	0	+22	38
2	Salernitana	18	10	6	2	+11	36
3	Monza	18	9	6	3	+13	33
4	Cittadella	18	9	6	3	+11	33
5	Chievo	18	9	5	4	+12	32
6	Venezia	18	10	2	6	+9	32
7	Brescia	18	8	5	5	+8	29
8	Pisa	18	6	10	2	+6	28
9	Reggina	18	8	4	6	+2	28
10	Spal	18	7	6	5	+5	27
11	Lecce	18	6	8	4	+8	26
12	Ascoli	18	7	5	6	-3	26
13	Cremonese	18	6	6	6	+2	24
14	Reggiana	18	6	5	7	-3	23
15	Pordenone	18	4	10	4	+6	22
16	Vicenza	18	4	9	5	-3	21
17	Frosinone	18	4	8	6	-5	20
18	Cosenza	18	3	9	6	-2	18
19	Pescara	18	4	5	9	-8	17
20	Virtus Entella	18	3	4	11	-16	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	18	10	5	3	+14	35
2	Empoli	18	8	8	2	+12	32
3	Monza	18	7	7	4	+4	28
4	Salernitana	18	7	6	5	-4	27
5	Frosinone	18	7	5	6	-3	26
6	Venezia	18	5	10	3	+5	25
7	Cittadella	18	6	5	7	+4	23
8	Vicenza	18	6	5	7	-3	23
9	Spal	18	5	8	5	-5	23
10	Reggina	18	4	9	5	-1	21
11	Cremonese	18	5	6	7	-2	21
12	Brescia	18	5	6	7	-3	21
13	Pordenone	18	5	4	9	-7	19
14	Chievo	18	3	9	6	-4	18
15	Pisa	18	4	5	9	-11	17
16	Cosenza	18	3	8	7	-11	17
17	Ascoli	18	3	6	9	-7	15
18	Pescara	18	3	6	9	-17	15
19	Reggiana	18	3	2	13	-21	11
20	Virtus Entella	18	1	7	10	-15	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.