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Serie B
Ascoli
U T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Cittadella
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
53%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
67%
40%
Average goals
2,9
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 9. · Cittadella 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 15 10 4 1 +17 34
2 Pordenone 15 7 4 4 +5 25
3 Cittadella 15 7 4 4 +1 25
4 Chievo 16 6 6 4 +3 24
5 Frosinone 15 6 5 4 +5 23
6 Perugia 15 6 5 4 -1 23
7 Crotone 15 6 4 5 +5 22
8 Virtus Entella 15 6 4 5 +1 22
9 Ascoli 15 6 3 6 +4 21
10 Pescara 15 6 3 6 +3 21
11 Empoli 15 5 6 4 -2 21
12 Pisa 15 5 5 5 +1 20
13 Spezia 15 5 4 6 +1 19
14 Salernitana 15 5 4 6 -2 19
15 Venezia 15 4 6 5 -2 18
16 Cremonese 15 4 5 6 -7 17
17 Juve Stabia 16 5 2 9 -10 17
18 Cosenza 15 2 8 5 -1 14
19 Trapani 15 3 4 8 -12 13
20 Livorno 15 3 2 10 -9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,68
U
3,08
B
2,68
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.