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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Genk
S U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
4,2
Scored
2,7
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 61%
52%
70%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
76%
48%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 3. · Club Brugge 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 33 23 6 4 +50 75
2 Antwerp 33 19 7 7 +18 64
3 Genk 33 17 10 6 +24 61
4 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
5 Mechelen 33 16 8 9 +10 56
6 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
7 Gent 33 15 7 11 +23 52
8 Oostende 33 15 7 11 +10 52
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
10 Anderlecht 33 11 17 5 +15 50
11 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
12 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
13 Standard 33 12 9 12 +3 45
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 35 8 8 19 -26 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Club Brugge
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Onuachu
B. Heynen
57′
64′
🔁 D. Okereke
↦ C. De Ketelaere
Paul Onuachu 🟨
68′
69′
🟨 Hans Vanaken
72′
🔁 E. Sobol
↦ S. Denswil
2–0 J. Ito
K. Thorstvedt
74′
3–0 K. Thorstvedt
T. Bongonda
75′
81′
🟨 Noa Lang
84′
🟨 Eduard Sobol
85′
🔁 T. Chong
↦ N. Lang
85′
🔁 Y. Badji
↦ B. Dost
M. McKenzie 🔁
↦ J. Lucumí
89′
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ P. Onuachu
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
46 C. Cuesta D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda M
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
2 M. McKenzie
9 C. Dessers
14 B. Toma
24 L. Oyen
77 A. Preciado
40 T. Leysen
21 J. Uronen

Coach: J. van den Brom

Club Brugge

4-3-3
88 S. Mignolet G
24 S. Denswil D
77 Clinton Mata D
44 B. Mechele D
5 O. Kossounou D
25 R. Vormer M
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
90 C. De Ketelaere F
29 B. Dost F
10 N. Lang F
Bench (7)
21 D. Okereke
2 E. Sobol
7 T. Chong
27 Y. Badji
22 E. Horvath
15 M. Mitrović
28 I. Van der Brempt

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,09
U
3,38
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.