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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

T T S U S

4–0

Full-time

St Pauli

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/31 matches

Win Ø 47%

52%

42%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

41%

65%

Both score Ø 60%

59%

61%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

10 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 7

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 3. · St Pauli 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	31	19	3	9	+21	60
2	Greuther Furth	31	16	9	6	+22	57
3	Holstein Kiel	29	15	8	6	+18	53
4	Hamburg	31	14	10	7	+21	52
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	15	7	9	+7	52
6	Heidenheim	31	14	6	11	+4	48
7	St Pauli	31	13	8	10	+3	47
8	Karlsruhe	31	12	9	10	+5	45
9	Paderborn	31	11	10	10	+5	43
10	Darmstadt	31	12	6	13	+2	42
11	Erzgebirge Aue	31	11	8	12	-2	41
12	Nurnberg	31	10	10	11	-3	40
13	Hannover	30	11	6	13	+4	39
14	Regensburg	30	8	11	11	-9	35
15	Sandhausen	31	9	4	18	-18	31
16	Braunschweig	31	7	9	15	-24	30
17	Osnabruck	31	7	6	18	-25	27
18	Wurzburger Kickers	31	5	6	20	-31	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	10	3	2	+9	33
2	Bochum	15	10	2	3	+18	32
3	Heidenheim	15	9	3	3	+12	30
4	Paderborn	16	8	5	3	+8	29
5	Hamburg	15	8	4	3	+17	28
6	Sandhausen	16	8	4	4	+6	28
7	Greuther Furth	15	8	3	4	+10	27
8	St Pauli	16	8	3	5	+4	27
9	Holstein Kiel	13	8	2	3	+7	26
10	Hannover	15	7	4	4	+10	25
11	Erzgebirge Aue	15	7	4	4	+5	25
12	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-5	22
13	Darmstadt	16	6	3	7	+2	21
14	Nurnberg	16	5	6	5	-1	21
15	Regensburg	16	5	6	5	-1	21
16	Karlsruhe	16	4	6	6	+0	18
17	Wurzburger Kickers	15	3	5	7	-9	14
18	Osnabruck	16	2	1	13	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	16	8	6	2	+12	30
2	Bochum	16	9	1	6	+3	28
3	Holstein Kiel	16	7	6	3	+11	27
4	Karlsruhe	15	8	3	4	+5	27
5	Hamburg	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Darmstadt	15	6	3	6	+0	21
7	St Pauli	15	5	5	5	-1	20
8	Osnabruck	15	5	5	5	-6	20
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	4	7	-2	19
10	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	-2	19
11	Heidenheim	16	5	3	8	-8	18
12	Erzgebirge Aue	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Paderborn	15	3	5	7	-3	14
14	Hannover	15	4	2	9	-6	14
15	Regensburg	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Braunschweig	15	1	5	9	-19	8
17	Wurzburger Kickers	16	2	1	13	-22	7
18	Sandhausen	15	1	0	14	-24	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.