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Serie B

Crotone

T U U T T

2–2

Full-time

Ascoli

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

9 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 11

17 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 17. · Ascoli 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Brescia	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Lecce	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Cremonese	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Ascoli	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Benevento	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Frosinone	6	2	4	0	+4	10
8	Reggina	6	2	4	0	+2	10
9	Cosenza	6	3	1	2	-1	10
10	Perugia	6	2	3	1	+3	9
11	Monza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Cittadella	6	3	0	3	-2	9
13	Parma	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Spal	6	2	1	3	+3	7
15	Ternana	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Como	6	0	3	3	-5	3
17	Crotone	6	0	3	3	-6	3
18	Alessandria	6	0	1	5	-8	1
19	Pordenone	6	0	1	5	-13	1
20	Vicenza	6	0	0	6	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Cosenza	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Cittadella	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Spal	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	Benevento	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Lecce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Monza	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
12	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Frosinone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Ascoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Perugia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Crotone	3	0	2	1	-3	2
17	Como	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Pordenone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Alessandria	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Vicenza	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Ascoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Perugia	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Lecce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Parma	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Reggina	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Como	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Monza	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Ternana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Alessandria	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Cosenza	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Vicenza	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Spal	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Cittadella	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Pordenone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.