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Serie B

Ascoli

S T S T U

1–1

Full-time

Lecce

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

1,9

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 6

4 Corners 2

27 Free kicks against 22

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 5. · Lecce 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Cremonese	7	5	0	2	+5	15
3	Brescia	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Lecce	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Ascoli	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Benevento	7	3	3	1	+5	12
7	Cittadella	7	4	0	3	-1	12
8	Perugia	7	2	4	1	+3	10
9	Frosinone	7	2	4	1	+3	10
10	Reggina	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Cosenza	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Parma	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Monza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Spal	7	2	2	3	+3	8
15	Ternana	7	2	1	4	-5	7
16	Como	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Crotone	7	0	4	3	-6	4
18	Alessandria	7	1	1	5	-7	4
19	Vicenza	7	1	0	6	-6	3
20	Pordenone	7	0	1	6	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Cremonese	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Cosenza	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Cittadella	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Spal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Benevento	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Lecce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Monza	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Brescia	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Ascoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Crotone	4	0	3	1	-3	3
16	Alessandria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Perugia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Como	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Pordenone	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Vicenza	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Ascoli	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Perugia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Lecce	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Parma	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Como	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Vicenza	4	1	0	3	-1	3
12	Cittadella	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Reggina	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Monza	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Ternana	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Alessandria	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Cosenza	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Spal	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Pordenone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.