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Serie B

Cosenza

S U U U U

1–1

Full-time

Lecce

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 27

9 Shots on target 7

6 Corners 8

11 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cosenza 11. · Lecce 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Salernitana	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Cittadella	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Chievo	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Reggina	5	1	4	0	+2	7
8	Spal	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Lecce	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Cosenza	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Brescia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Pordenone	5	0	4	1	-2	4
14	Ascoli	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Monza	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Cremonese	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Virtus Entella	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Pisa	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Vicenza	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Pescara	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Empoli	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Cittadella	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Venezia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Reggina	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Spal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Frosinone	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Pordenone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Lecce	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Pisa	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Vicenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Cosenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chievo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Salernitana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Reggina	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Cremonese	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Cosenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Virtus Entella	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Spal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Pordenone	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ascoli	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Brescia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Pescara	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.