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Coppa Italia
Referee: M Piccinini
Verona
T T U T S
3–1
Full-time
Ascoli
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggiana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Parma 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 FeralpiSalo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Catanzaro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Cesena 2 0 1 1 -2 1
12 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Vicenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Foggia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Bari 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.