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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Bari
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Pisa
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
39%
52%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 16. · Pisa 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 34 20 10 4 +27 70
2 Como 33 19 7 7 +14 64
3 Venezia 33 18 7 8 +22 61
4 Cremonese 33 17 8 8 +15 59
5 Catanzaro 33 16 7 10 +11 55
6 Palermo 34 14 10 10 +10 52
7 Sampdoria 33 13 7 13 -1 46
8 Brescia 33 11 12 10 +3 45
9 Pisa 33 11 10 12 -1 43
10 Cittadella 33 11 10 12 -3 43
11 Sudtirol 33 11 9 13 -1 42
12 Reggiana 34 8 16 10 -8 40
13 Cosenza 34 9 12 13 +1 39
14 Modena 33 8 15 10 -7 39
15 Ternana 33 9 9 15 -7 36
16 Bari 33 7 14 12 -10 35
17 Spezia 33 7 14 12 -15 35
18 Ascoli 33 7 12 14 -5 33
19 FeralpiSalo 33 8 7 18 -16 31
20 Lecco 33 6 8 19 -29 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Pisa
3′
A. Calabresi 0–1
T. Barbieri
Valerio Di Cesare 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–1
Giuseppe Sibilli ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
56′
1–1 G. Puşcaş
60′
M. Aramu 🔁
↦ G. Morachioli
68′
68′
🔁 S. Canestrelli
↦ H. Hermannsson
68′
🔁 M. Tramoni
↦ A. Arena
68′
🔁 Miguel Veloso
↦ Tomás Esteves
74′
🟨 Tommaso Barbieri
I. Achik 🔁
↦ Y. Kallon
75′
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ G. Puşcaş
76′
76′
🔁 I. Touré
↦ M. Valoti
86′
🔁 P. Beruatto
↦ A. Calabresi
N. Bellomo 🔁
↦ M. Maita
89′
Giacomo Ricci 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bari

4-2-3-1
22 Brenno G
93 M. Dorval D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
91 Y. Kallon M
20 G. Sibilli M
77 G. Morachioli M
47 G. Puşcaş F
Bench (12)
49 M. Aramu
11 I. Achik
9 M. Nasti
10 N. Bellomo
44 G. Acampora
32 V. Colangiuli
5 E. Matino
21 Ž. Žužek
38 M. Pissardo
25 R. Pucino
14 K. Lulić
24 M. Edjouma

Coach: F. Giampaolo

Pisa

4-2-3-1
1 Nícolas G
33 A. Calabresi D
6 H. Hermannsson D
4 A. Caracciolo D
42 T. Barbieri D
19 Tomás Esteves M
8 M. Marin M
28 A. Arena M
27 M. Valoti M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
32 S. Moreo F
Bench (12)
5 S. Canestrelli
11 M. Tramoni
44 Miguel Veloso
15 I. Touré
20 P. Beruatto
36 G. Piccinini
30 A. De Vitis
17 J. Mlakar
9 N. Bonfanti
3 M. Leverbe
22 L. Loria
26 G. Masucci

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U ✓
2,99
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.