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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Cremonese
S S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Ternana
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Ternana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 39%
53%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

75% Possession 25%
27 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 9
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 3. · Ternana 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 32 19 9 4 +25 66
2 Como 32 18 7 7 +13 61
3 Cremonese 32 17 8 7 +16 59
4 Venezia 32 17 7 8 +20 58
5 Catanzaro 33 16 7 10 +11 55
6 Palermo 32 14 8 10 +10 50
7 Sampdoria 32 13 7 12 +0 46
8 Brescia 32 11 12 9 +5 45
9 Cittadella 32 11 9 12 -3 42
10 Pisa 32 10 10 12 -3 40
11 Reggiana 32 8 16 8 -3 40
12 Sudtirol 32 10 9 13 -2 39
13 Modena 33 8 15 10 -7 39
14 Cosenza 32 8 11 13 -3 35
15 Bari 32 7 14 11 -9 35
16 Spezia 32 7 14 11 -13 35
17 Ternana 32 8 9 15 -8 33
18 Ascoli 32 7 11 14 -5 32
19 FeralpiSalo 32 8 7 17 -14 31
20 Lecco 32 5 8 19 -30 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Ternana
1–0 F. Tsadjout
D. Johnsen
13′
17′
A. Favilli 1–1
G. Pereiro
Michele Collocolo 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Niklas Pyyhtiä
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
46′
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
46′
L. Zanimacchia 🔁
↦ P. Ghiglione
46′
57′
🟨 Gastón Pereiro
M. Coda 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
64′
64′
🔁 K. de Boer
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
64′
🔁 C. Favasuli
↦ F. Carboni
64′
🔁 F. Distefano
↦ A. Favilli
74′
🔁 A. Raimondo
↦ G. Pereiro
79′
🟨 Tiago Casasola
C. Buonaiuto 🔁
↦ Ž. Majer
81′
81′
🔁 J. Łabojko
↦ G. Luperini
96′
F. Distefano 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-1-1
21 G. Saro G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
18 P. Ghiglione M
8 M. Collocolo M
37 Ž. Majer M
7 C. Falletti M
17 L. Sernicola M
71 D. Johnsen F
74 F. Tsadjout F
Bench (12)
20 F. Vázquez
6 C. Pickel
98 L. Zanimacchia
90 M. Coda
10 C. Buonaiuto
97 A. Livieri
4 L. Marrone
32 G. Abrego
33 G. Quagliata
19 M. Castagnetti
11 F. Afena-Gyan
9 D. Ciofani

Coach: G. Stroppa

Ternana

3-5-1-1
18 T. Vitali G
6 C. Dalle Mura D
19 M. Capuano D
44 L. Lucchesi D
15 T. Casasola M
71 G. Luperini M
72 L. Amatucci M
66 N. Pyyhtiä M
79 F. Carboni M
10 G. Pereiro F
17 A. Favilli F
Bench (11)
8 K. de Boer
27 C. Favasuli
28 F. Distefano
9 A. Raimondo
25 J. Łabojko
65 F. Dionisi
24 F. Viviani
22 D. Franchi
3 R. Zoia
76 F. Novelli
5 G. Boloca

Coach: R. Breda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,56
U
4,12
B ✓
5,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.