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Championship
Referee: L Doughty
Luton
S T U S S
3–3
Full-time
Huddersfield
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — Championship · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 28%
36%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
27%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
60%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

47% Possession 53%
24 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Luton 9. · Huddersfield 23. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 11 7 3 1 +14 24
2 Norwich 11 7 2 2 +8 23
3 Reading 11 7 0 4 -2 21
4 Burnley 11 4 6 1 +7 18
5 QPR 11 5 3 3 +4 18
6 Blackburn 11 6 0 5 -1 18
7 Watford 11 4 5 2 +4 17
8 Sunderland 11 4 4 3 +5 16
9 Luton 11 4 4 3 +3 16
10 Wigan 10 4 4 2 +0 16
11 Swansea 11 4 3 4 -1 15
12 Rotherham 10 3 5 2 +4 14
13 Bristol City 11 4 2 5 +2 14
14 Preston 11 2 7 2 -1 13
15 Birmingham 11 3 4 4 -2 13
16 Millwall 11 4 1 6 -4 13
17 Stoke 11 3 3 5 -4 12
18 Cardiff 11 3 3 5 -4 12
19 Blackpool 11 3 2 6 -6 11
20 Hull 11 3 2 6 -12 11
21 West Brom 11 1 7 3 +0 10
22 Middlesbrough 10 2 4 4 -2 10
23 Huddersfield 10 2 1 7 -6 7
24 Coventry 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luton Huddersfield
11′
⚽ C. Morris 1–0
own goal
2–0 E. Adebayo ⚽
C. Morris
18′
32′
⚽ J. Rhodes 2–1
3–1 E. Adebayo ⚽
C. Morris
37′
Half-time 4–1
4–1 J. Clark ⚽
46′
P. Mpanzu 🔁
↦ H. Lansbury
46′
46′
🔁 O. Turton
↦ L. Mbete
64′
🔁 C. Mahoney
↦ J. Rhodes
70′
⚽ B. Jackson 4–2
S. Thomas
H. Cornick 🔁
↦ E. Adebayo
80′
S. Bradley 🔁
↦ F. Onyedinma
80′
81′
🔁 K. Kessler
↦ B. Jackson
82′
🔁 J. Rudoni
↦ D. Holmes
90′
🔁 W. Boyle
↦ E. Camara
91′
🟨 David Kasumu
94′
🟨 David Kasumu
94′
🟥 David Kasumu
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Luton

3-5-2
34 E. Horvath G
2 J. Bree D
4 T. Lockyer D
3 D. Potts D
23 F. Onyedinma M
22 A. Campbell M
12 H. Lansbury M
18 J. Clark M
29 A. Bell M
9 C. Morris F
11 E. Adebayo F
Bench (7)
17 P. Mpanzu
7 H. Cornick
5 S. Bradley
45 A. Doughty
43 Z. Nelson
21 H. Isted
42 C. Pettit

Coach: N. Jones

Huddersfield

3-4-1-2
21 L. Nicholls G
32 T. Lees D
39 M. Helik D
3 L. Mbete D
7 S. Thomas M
18 D. Kasumu M
24 E. Camara M
30 B. Jackson M
19 D. Holmes F
9 J. Rhodes F
25 D. Ward F
Bench (7)
2 O. Turton
11 C. Mahoney
16 K. Kessler
22 J. Rudoni
12 W. Boyle
41 N. Bilokapić
14 J. Ruffels

Coach: M. Fotheringham

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,51
B
4,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

L Doughty · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.