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Serie B
Referee: J Sacchi
Sudtirol
T S S S U
0–0
Full-time
Bari
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
27%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
59%
35%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 31
3 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 11
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 11. · Bari 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 37 25 7 5 +41 82
2 Pisa 37 21 8 8 +24 71
3 Spezia 37 16 15 6 +24 63
4 Cremonese 37 16 13 8 +19 61
5 Juve Stabia 37 14 12 11 +1 54
6 Catanzaro 37 11 19 7 +6 52
7 Palermo 37 14 9 14 +9 51
8 Cesena 37 13 11 13 -2 50
9 Bari 37 10 17 10 +1 47
10 Modena 37 10 15 12 -1 45
11 Sudtirol 37 12 9 16 -7 45
12 Reggiana 37 11 11 15 -9 44
13 Carrarese 37 11 11 15 -10 44
14 Mantova 37 10 13 14 -9 43
15 Brescia 37 8 16 13 -7 40
16 Sampdoria 37 8 16 13 -11 40
17 Frosinone 37 8 16 13 -14 40
18 Cittadella 37 10 10 17 -21 40
19 Salernitana 37 10 9 18 -12 39
20 Cosenza 37 7 13 17 -22 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Bari
45′
🟨 Costantino Favasuli
Half-time 0–0
L. Belardinelli 🔁
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
46′
S. Merkaj 🔁
↦ E. Vergani
46′
Salvatore Molina 🟨
62′
D. Casiraghi 🔁
↦ A. Mallamo
63′
A. Barreca 🔁
↦ H. El Kaouakibi
63′
63′
🔁 C. Falletti
↦ G. Maggiore
73′
🔁 N. Lella
↦ M. Maita
74′
🔁 N. Bonfanti
↦ K. Lasagna
74′
🔁 A. Oliveri
↦ C. Favasuli
84′
🔁 A. Novakovich
↦ A. Favilli
J. Martini 🔁
↦ F. Tait
87′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
2 H. El Kaouakibi D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
30 A. Giorgini D
28 R. Kofler M
21 F. Tait M
18 N. Pyyhtiä M
8 A. Mallamo M
79 S. Molina M
63 E. Vergani F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
20 L. Belardinelli
33 S. Merkaj
17 D. Casiraghi
3 A. Barreca
6 J. Martini
16 E. Lamanna
9 G. Gori
14 F. Davi
15 B. Rottensteiner
34 F. Veseli
99 M. Praszelik
31 M. Adamonis

Coach: F. Castori

Bari

3-5-2
1 B. Radunović G
3 V. Mantovani D
44 L. Šimić D
55 N. Obaretin D
27 C. Favasuli M
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
21 G. Maggiore M
93 M. Dorval M
15 K. Lasagna F
99 A. Favilli F
Bench (12)
19 C. Falletti
28 N. Lella
11 N. Bonfanti
7 A. Oliveri
9 A. Novakovich
22 M. Pissardo
10 N. Bellomo
20 G. Pereiro
25 R. Pucino
17 R. Maiello
13 A. Tripaldelli
23 F. Vicari

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,96
U ✓
3,28
B
2,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Sacchi · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.