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Serie B
Referee: G Aureliano
Bari
U U T U S
1–2
Full-time
Modena
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
58%
61%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bari 8. · Modena 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 33 23 6 4 +39 75
2 Pisa 33 19 7 7 +23 64
3 Spezia 34 15 15 4 +24 60
4 Cremonese 33 14 11 8 +16 53
5 Juve Stabia 33 13 11 9 +2 50
6 Catanzaro 33 10 18 5 +8 48
7 Palermo 33 12 9 12 +7 45
8 Bari 33 9 17 7 +4 44
9 Cesena 33 11 11 11 +1 44
10 Modena 33 9 14 10 +0 41
11 Frosinone 34 8 15 11 -11 39
12 Carrarese 33 9 11 13 -9 38
13 Mantova 33 8 13 12 -9 37
14 Cittadella 33 9 9 15 -21 36
15 Brescia 33 7 14 12 -7 35
16 Sudtirol 33 9 8 16 -11 35
17 Sampdoria 33 7 14 12 -11 35
18 Salernitana 33 8 9 16 -13 33
19 Reggiana 33 7 11 15 -13 32
20 Cosenza 33 6 13 14 -19 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Modena
8′
G. Defrel 0–1
16′
ℹ️ Antonio Palumbo
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Mattia Maita 🟨
17′
18′
A. Palumbo 0–2
Andrea Oliveri 🟨
25′
Giulio Maggiore 🟨
31′
41′
🟨 Antonio Palumbo
1–2 K. Lasagna
42′
Francesco Vicari 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🟨 Giovanni Zaro
N. Lella 🔁
↦ M. Maita
46′
46′
🔁 I. Kamate
↦ A. Palumbo
N. Bonfanti 🔁
↦ A. Oliveri
63′
63′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ G. Caso
64′
🔁 R. Idrissi
↦ M. Cotali
67′
🔁 Pedro Mendes
↦ G. Defrel
A. Favilli 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
71′
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
71′
N. Bellomo 🔁
↦ G. Maggiore
71′
81′
🟥 Alessandro Di Pardo
83′
ℹ️ Alessandro Di Pardo
VAR:
90′
🔁 F. Ponsi
↦ K. Bozhanaj
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bari

3-5-1-1
1 B. Radunović G
3 V. Mantovani D
23 F. Vicari D
55 N. Obaretin D
7 A. Oliveri M
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
21 G. Maggiore M
93 M. Dorval M
19 C. Falletti F
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
28 N. Lella
11 N. Bonfanti
99 A. Favilli
20 G. Pereiro
10 N. Bellomo
25 R. Pucino
17 R. Maiello
13 A. Tripaldelli
44 L. Šimić
22 M. Pissardo
94 C. Saco
9 A. Novakovich

Coach: M. Longo

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
2 G. Beyuku D
19 G. Zaro D
33 C. Cauz D
18 A. Di Pardo M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
29 M. Cotali M
10 A. Palumbo F
20 G. Caso F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
93 I. Kamate
21 K. Bozhanaj
27 R. Idrissi
11 Pedro Mendes
3 F. Ponsi
1 A. Seculin
4 A. Pergreffi
78 F. Bagheria
7 E. Duca
24 M. Oliva
31 Eric Botteghin
14 S. Vulikić

Coach: P. Mandelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
3,08
B ✓
3,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.