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Serie B

Referee: L Marinelli

Modena

T S T T U

0–1

Full-time

Cesena

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Cesena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 31%

27%

35%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

51%

41%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

57%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

10 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Modena 10. · Cesena 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	37	25	7	5	+41	82
2	Pisa	37	21	8	8	+24	71
3	Spezia	37	16	15	6	+24	63
4	Cremonese	37	16	13	8	+19	61
5	Juve Stabia	37	14	12	11	+1	54
6	Catanzaro	37	11	19	7	+6	52
7	Palermo	37	14	9	14	+9	51
8	Cesena	37	13	11	13	-2	50
9	Bari	37	10	17	10	+1	47
10	Modena	37	10	15	12	-1	45
11	Sudtirol	37	12	9	16	-7	45
12	Reggiana	37	11	11	15	-9	44
13	Carrarese	37	11	11	15	-10	44
14	Mantova	37	10	13	14	-9	43
15	Brescia	37	8	16	13	-7	40
16	Sampdoria	37	8	16	13	-11	40
17	Frosinone	37	8	16	13	-14	40
18	Cittadella	37	10	10	17	-21	40
19	Salernitana	37	10	9	18	-12	39
20	Cosenza	37	7	13	17	-22	34

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	18	14	2	2	+27	44
2	Pisa	18	12	4	2	+18	40
3	Spezia	18	11	4	3	+17	37
4	Carrarese	19	10	5	4	+6	35
5	Juve Stabia	18	10	3	5	+7	33
6	Cesena	19	8	7	4	+6	31
7	Salernitana	19	9	4	6	+5	31
8	Catanzaro	19	7	9	3	+10	30
9	Bari	19	7	9	3	+5	30
10	Mantova	18	8	6	4	+5	30
11	Cremonese	19	7	8	4	+7	29
12	Palermo	18	8	4	6	+7	28
13	Modena	18	6	8	4	+4	26
14	Sampdoria	19	6	7	6	-2	25
15	Sudtirol	18	6	6	6	-2	24
16	Reggiana	19	6	6	7	-2	24
17	Frosinone	19	4	10	5	-6	22
18	Cosenza	19	5	7	7	-7	22
19	Brescia	18	3	9	6	-2	18
20	Cittadella	18	3	7	8	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	19	11	5	3	+14	38
2	Cremonese	18	9	5	4	+12	32
3	Pisa	19	9	4	6	+6	31
4	Spezia	19	5	11	3	+7	26
5	Cittadella	19	7	3	9	-12	24
6	Palermo	19	6	5	8	+2	23
7	Catanzaro	18	4	10	4	-4	22
8	Brescia	19	5	7	7	-5	22
9	Sudtirol	19	6	3	10	-5	21
10	Juve Stabia	19	4	9	6	-6	21
11	Reggiana	18	5	5	8	-7	20
12	Modena	19	4	7	8	-5	19
13	Cesena	18	5	4	9	-8	19
14	Frosinone	18	4	6	8	-8	18
15	Bari	18	3	8	7	-4	17
16	Sampdoria	18	2	9	7	-9	15
17	Mantova	19	2	7	10	-14	13
18	Cosenza	18	2	6	10	-15	12
19	Carrarese	18	1	6	11	-16	9
20	Salernitana	18	1	5	12	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.