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Serie B

Referee: F Cosso

Bari

S S U T T

2–1

Full-time

Sudtirol

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 24%

20%

27%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

33%

47%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,1

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bari 12. · Sudtirol 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	15	10	3	2	+16	33
2	Venezia	15	10	3	2	+13	33
3	Como	15	8	4	3	+4	28
4	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+5	27
5	Cremonese	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Modena	15	7	5	3	+2	26
7	Cittadella	15	7	4	4	+0	25
8	Palermo	15	7	3	5	+7	24
9	Cosenza	15	5	4	6	+1	19
10	Brescia	15	4	6	5	-1	18
11	Pisa	15	4	6	5	-1	18
12	Bari	15	3	9	3	-2	18
13	Sampdoria	15	5	3	7	-3	18
14	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	+0	17
15	Reggiana	15	3	7	5	-4	16
16	Lecco	15	4	4	7	-7	16
17	Ascoli	15	3	4	8	-6	13
18	Ternana	15	2	5	8	-4	11
19	Spezia	15	1	7	7	-10	10
20	FeralpiSalo	15	1	4	10	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Parma	8	5	3	0	+8	18
3	Como	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+0	14
5	Catanzaro	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Modena	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+4	11
8	Palermo	8	3	1	4	+1	10
9	Sudtirol	8	2	3	3	+1	9
10	Cremonese	8	2	3	3	+1	9
11	Sampdoria	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Brescia	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Reggiana	7	1	5	1	-1	8
14	Bari	7	1	5	1	-2	8
15	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	+1	7
16	Pisa	8	1	4	3	-2	7
17	Lecco	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Ternana	8	1	3	4	-1	6
19	Spezia	7	0	4	3	-3	4
20	FeralpiSalo	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Parma	7	5	0	2	+8	15
3	Palermo	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Venezia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Catanzaro	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Como	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Modena	7	3	4	0	+3	13
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Bari	8	2	4	2	+0	10
11	Brescia	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Lecco	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Sudtirol	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Reggiana	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Cosenza	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Ascoli	9	1	3	5	-7	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-7	6
19	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-3	5
20	FeralpiSalo	8	1	2	5	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.