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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Pisa
T S S S T
3–3
Full-time
Sudtirol
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 46%
58%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
58%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 2. · Sudtirol 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 36 25 7 4 +43 82
2 Pisa 36 21 7 8 +24 70
3 Spezia 36 16 15 5 +25 63
4 Cremonese 36 15 13 8 +18 58
5 Juve Stabia 36 14 12 10 +2 54
6 Catanzaro 36 10 19 7 +4 49
7 Palermo 36 13 9 14 +7 48
8 Bari 36 10 17 9 +3 47
9 Cesena 36 12 11 13 -3 47
10 Modena 36 10 14 12 -1 44
11 Sudtirol 36 12 8 16 -7 44
12 Carrarese 36 11 11 14 -9 44
13 Reggiana 36 10 11 15 -10 41
14 Mantova 36 9 13 14 -10 40
15 Frosinone 36 8 16 12 -12 40
16 Brescia 36 8 15 13 -7 39
17 Salernitana 36 10 9 17 -11 39
18 Sampdoria 36 7 16 13 -12 37
19 Cittadella 36 9 10 17 -23 37
20 Cosenza 36 7 13 16 -21 34

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Sudtirol
22′
A. Mallamo 0–1
37′
G. Gori 0–2
1–2 A. Lind
39′
Half-time 1–2
G. Piccinini 🔁
↦ M. Højholt
46′
57′
🟨 Jacopo Martini
Olimpiu Moruțan 🟨
59′
60′
🔁 N. Pyyhtiä
↦ A. Mallamo
L. Sernicola 🔁
↦ O. Moruțan
66′
A. Arena 🔁
↦ C. Sussi
66′
H. Meister 🔁
↦ E. Vignato
66′
67′
N. Pietrangeli 1–3
Adrian Rus 🟨
69′
71′
ℹ️ Simone Davì
VAR: Penalty cancelled
75′
🔁 R. Odogwu
↦ G. Gori
2–3 L. Sernicola
78′
82′
🔁 D. Casiraghi
↦ S. Merkaj
82′
🔁 F. Davi
↦ S. Davì
T. Ferrari 🔁
↦ I. Touré
83′
83′
🔁 F. Tait
↦ J. Martini
Henrik Wendel Meister 🟨
84′
92′
🟨 Niklas Pyyhtiä
3–3 A. Rus
93′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
22 L. Loria G
17 A. Rus D
5 S. Canestrelli D
27 A. Castellini D
15 I. Touré M
8 M. Højholt M
21 M. Solbakken M
13 C. Sussi M
80 O. Moruțan F
10 E. Vignato F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (12)
36 G. Piccinini
66 L. Sernicola
30 A. Arena
14 H. Meister
25 T. Ferrari
33 A. Calabresi
94 G. Bonfanti
28 O. Abildgaard
11 M. Tramoni
4 A. Caracciolo
3 S. Angori
1 Nícolas

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
30 A. Giorgini D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
5 A. Masiello D
34 F. Veseli M
20 L. Belardinelli M
6 J. Martini M
8 A. Mallamo M
24 S. Davì M
33 S. Merkaj F
9 G. Gori F
Bench (11)
18 N. Pyyhtiä
90 R. Odogwu
17 D. Casiraghi
14 F. Davi
21 F. Tait
1 G. Poluzzi
99 M. Praszelik
74 S. Testa
16 E. Lamanna
84 R. Halili
63 E. Vergani

Coach: F. Castori

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,09
U ✓
3,05
B
3,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.