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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
U U U S T
0–2
Full-time
Las Palmas
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 3
12 Free kicks against 24
3 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 12. · Las Palmas 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 9 7 1 1 +6 22
2 Almeria 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Zaragoza 7 4 3 0 +8 15
4 Huesca 9 5 0 4 +2 15
5 Fuenlabrada 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Numancia 9 3 4 2 +2 13
7 Albacete 9 4 1 4 -6 13
8 Vallecano 9 2 6 1 +2 12
9 Alcorcon 9 3 3 3 +0 12
10 Elche 9 3 3 3 -1 12
11 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 +1 11
12 Ponferradina 8 2 4 2 +2 10
13 Girona 8 3 1 4 -2 10
14 Extremadura UD 9 2 3 4 -1 9
15 Lugo 9 1 6 2 -3 9
16 Las Palmas 8 2 3 3 -3 9
17 Santander 9 1 5 3 +0 8
18 Sp Gijon 8 1 5 2 +0 8
19 Mirandes 9 1 5 3 -6 8
20 Malaga 8 1 4 3 -2 7
21 La Coruna 8 1 4 3 -4 7
22 Oviedo 8 0 3 5 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,18
B ✓
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.