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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
U S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Oviedo
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 4
22 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 13. · Oviedo 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 7 5 2 0 +10 17
2 Cadiz 7 5 1 1 +4 16
3 Zaragoza 6 4 2 0 +8 14
4 Albacete 7 4 0 3 -5 12
5 Alcorcon 7 3 2 2 +2 11
6 Vallecano 7 2 4 1 +2 10
7 Fuenlabrada 5 3 1 1 +2 10
8 Huesca 6 3 0 3 +1 9
9 Numancia 6 2 2 2 +1 8
10 Lugo 7 1 5 1 +0 8
11 Elche 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Tenerife 6 2 2 2 -1 8
13 Ponferradina 6 1 4 1 +2 7
14 Girona 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Sp Gijon 6 1 3 2 +0 6
16 Malaga 7 1 3 3 -2 6
17 Las Palmas 6 1 3 2 -3 6
18 La Coruna 7 1 3 3 -4 6
19 Mirandes 7 1 3 3 -6 6
20 Santander 6 1 2 3 +0 5
21 Extremadura UD 6 0 3 3 -4 3
22 Oviedo 6 0 2 4 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,68
U
3,03
B
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,29
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.