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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

S S T S U

0–3

Full-time

Vallecano

U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 37%

28%

45%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

24%

41%

Both score Ø 35%

24%

45%

Average goals

1,6

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

6 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 5

17 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 16. · Vallecano 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	30	18	7	5	+23	61
2	Espanol	30	17	7	6	+26	58
3	Almeria	30	17	5	8	+17	56
4	Leganes	30	16	5	9	+10	53
5	Sp Gijon	30	14	10	6	+12	52
6	Vallecano	29	13	7	9	+6	46
7	Ponferradina	30	13	7	10	+1	46
8	Girona	30	11	9	10	-2	42
9	Mirandes	29	11	8	10	+1	41
10	Malaga	30	11	8	11	-6	41
11	Tenerife	30	11	7	12	+1	40
12	Fuenlabrada	30	8	15	7	+1	39
13	Las Palmas	30	10	9	11	-9	39
14	Oviedo	30	8	13	9	+1	37
15	Lugo	30	8	12	10	-4	36
16	Alcorcon	29	8	7	14	-6	31
17	Logrones	30	8	7	15	-19	31
18	Castellon	30	8	6	16	-8	30
19	Cartagena	29	7	8	14	-10	29
20	Zaragoza	29	7	7	15	-8	28
21	Sabadell	30	6	10	14	-10	28
22	Albacete	29	6	8	15	-17	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	16	12	1	3	+11	37
2	Espanol	15	11	2	2	+19	35
3	Sp Gijon	15	9	6	0	+12	33
4	Almeria	15	9	4	2	+16	31
5	Mallorca	16	9	3	4	+14	30
6	Vallecano	14	9	2	3	+10	29
7	Tenerife	15	8	4	3	+11	28
8	Ponferradina	15	8	4	3	+5	28
9	Las Palmas	15	8	3	4	+5	27
10	Lugo	15	6	7	2	+6	25
11	Mirandes	15	5	7	3	+3	22
12	Zaragoza	14	6	4	4	+3	22
13	Girona	15	6	4	5	+1	22
14	Castellon	15	7	0	8	+5	21
15	Oviedo	15	5	5	5	+3	20
16	Cartagena	15	5	4	6	+1	19
17	Alcorcon	14	6	1	7	+0	19
18	Malaga	15	4	6	5	-2	18
19	Logrones	14	5	2	7	-6	17
20	Fuenlabrada	15	2	10	3	-1	16
21	Albacete	14	3	5	6	-4	14
22	Sabadell	15	2	7	6	-4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	14	9	4	1	+9	31
2	Almeria	15	8	1	6	+1	25
3	Espanol	15	6	5	4	+7	23
4	Fuenlabrada	15	6	5	4	+2	23
5	Malaga	15	7	2	6	-4	23
6	Girona	15	5	5	5	-3	20
7	Sp Gijon	15	5	4	6	+0	19
8	Mirandes	14	6	1	7	-2	19
9	Ponferradina	15	5	3	7	-4	18
10	Oviedo	15	3	8	4	-2	17
11	Vallecano	15	4	5	6	-4	17
12	Leganes	14	4	4	6	-1	16
13	Sabadell	15	4	3	8	-6	15
14	Logrones	16	3	5	8	-13	14
15	Alcorcon	15	2	6	7	-6	12
16	Tenerife	15	3	3	9	-10	12
17	Albacete	15	3	3	9	-13	12
18	Las Palmas	15	2	6	7	-14	12
19	Lugo	15	2	5	8	-10	11
20	Cartagena	14	2	4	8	-11	10
21	Castellon	15	1	6	8	-13	9
22	Zaragoza	15	1	3	11	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.