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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
Huddersfield
U T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Luton
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Luton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — Championship · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
39%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
39%
Both score Ø 43%
42%
43%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 22. · Luton 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 25 15 8 2 +26 53
2 Sheffield United 25 15 5 5 +21 50
3 Blackburn 26 14 0 12 +0 42
4 Watford 25 10 7 8 +2 37
5 Sunderland 24 10 6 8 +9 36
6 Middlesbrough 24 10 6 8 +7 36
7 Norwich 25 10 6 9 +4 36
8 Millwall 24 10 6 8 +3 36
9 Reading 25 11 3 11 -6 36
10 West Brom 25 9 8 8 +7 35
11 Luton 23 9 8 6 +4 35
12 Swansea 25 9 8 8 +1 35
13 QPR 25 10 5 10 -3 35
14 Preston 25 9 7 9 -3 34
15 Birmingham 25 8 8 9 +0 32
16 Coventry 23 8 7 8 +0 31
17 Stoke 25 8 6 11 -5 30
18 Hull 25 8 6 11 -13 30
19 Bristol City 25 7 7 11 -3 28
20 Cardiff 26 7 7 12 -9 28
21 Rotherham 25 6 9 10 -8 27
22 Huddersfield 24 7 4 13 -7 25
23 Blackpool 25 6 7 12 -10 25
24 Wigan 25 6 6 13 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Luton
1–0 D. Holmes
J. Rudoni
25′
William Boyle 🟨
35′
S. Thomas 🔁
↦ J. Hogg
38′
43′
A. Bell 1–1
A. Campbell
Half-time 1–1
58′
🟨 Alfie Doughty
61′
🟨 Tom Lockyer
62′
🔁 R. Burke
↦ A. Doughty
D. Ward 🔁
↦ J. Rhodes
64′
E. Camara 🔁
↦ D. Kasumu
64′
65′
🔁 C. Woodrow
↦ L. Watson
B. Diarra 🔁
↦ D. Holmes
73′
83′
🔁 C. Jerome
↦ E. Adebayo
84′
🟨 Reece Burke
84′
R. Burke 1–2
J. Bree
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Huddersfield

3-4-2-1
21 L. Nicholls G
32 T. Lees D
39 M. Helik D
12 W. Boyle D
16 K. Kessler
6 J. Hogg M
18 D. Kasumu M
14 J. Ruffels M
22 J. Rudoni F
19 D. Holmes F
9 J. Rhodes F
Bench (7)
7 S. Thomas
25 D. Ward
24 E. Camara
35 B. Diarra
41 N. Bilokapić
27 T. Simpson
47 L. Ayina

Coach: M. Fotheringham

Luton

3-1-4-2
34 E. Horvath G
2 J. Bree D
4 T. Lockyer D
3 D. Potts D
20 L. Watson M
45 A. Doughty M
22 A. Campbell M
17 P. Mpanzu M
29 A. Bell M
9 C. Morris F
11 E. Adebayo F
Bench (7)
16 R. Burke
10 C. Woodrow
35 C. Jerome
21 H. Isted
42 C. Pettit
7 H. Cornick
8 L. Berry

Coach: R. Edwards

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,98
U
3,25
B ✓
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.