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Championship

Referee: O Langford

Stoke

T T T S T

2–0

Full-time

Luton

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Luton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Championship · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

32%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

42%

33%

Both score Ø 41%

42%

39%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%

8 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 13

1 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stoke 18. · Luton 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	20	10	8	2	+14	38
2	Blackburn	20	12	0	8	+5	36
3	Sheffield United	19	10	5	4	+16	35
4	Norwich	20	9	5	6	+7	32
5	QPR	19	9	4	6	+5	31
6	Preston	20	8	7	5	+0	31
7	Watford	19	8	5	6	+4	29
8	Swansea	19	8	5	6	-1	29
9	Luton	18	7	7	4	+3	28
10	Millwall	19	8	4	7	+2	28
11	Birmingham	19	7	6	6	+4	27
12	Reading	19	8	2	9	-6	26
13	Cardiff	19	7	3	9	-6	24
14	Sunderland	18	6	5	7	+2	23
15	Bristol City	20	6	5	9	-2	23
16	Rotherham	19	5	7	7	-2	22
17	Blackpool	19	6	4	9	-5	22
18	Stoke	19	6	4	9	-5	22
19	Middlesbrough	18	5	6	7	+0	21
20	Hull	19	6	3	10	-14	21
21	West Brom	19	4	8	7	-2	20
22	Coventry	16	5	5	6	-2	20
23	Wigan	19	5	5	9	-9	20
24	Huddersfield	18	4	3	11	-8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	10	8	0	2	+10	24
2	Burnley	10	6	4	0	+10	22
3	Millwall	10	7	1	2	+9	22
4	Reading	10	6	1	3	+4	19
5	Sheffield United	9	5	3	1	+12	18
6	Norwich	10	5	3	2	+7	18
7	QPR	9	5	2	2	+6	17
8	Swansea	10	5	2	3	+2	17
9	Watford	9	5	1	3	+5	16
10	Rotherham	10	4	3	3	+5	15
11	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	+3	14
12	Middlesbrough	10	3	5	2	+1	14
13	Cardiff	9	4	2	3	+1	14
14	Birmingham	9	3	4	2	+4	13
15	Huddersfield	10	4	1	5	+0	13
16	Preston	10	3	4	3	-2	13
17	Hull	10	4	0	6	-8	12
18	Luton	9	2	5	2	+2	11
19	Sunderland	9	2	4	3	+0	10
20	Blackpool	9	3	1	5	-1	10
21	West Brom	10	2	4	4	-2	10
22	Stoke	9	2	2	5	-5	8
23	Coventry	6	2	1	3	-1	7
24	Wigan	10	1	3	6	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	10	5	3	2	+2	18
2	Sheffield United	10	5	2	3	+4	17
3	Luton	9	5	2	2	+1	17
4	Burnley	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Wigan	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Stoke	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Norwich	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Birmingham	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	QPR	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	Sunderland	9	4	1	4	+2	13
11	Coventry	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Watford	10	3	4	3	-1	13
13	Swansea	9	3	3	3	-3	12
14	Blackpool	10	3	3	4	-4	12
15	Blackburn	10	4	0	6	-5	12
16	West Brom	9	2	4	3	+0	10
17	Cardiff	10	3	1	6	-7	10
18	Bristol City	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Hull	9	2	3	4	-6	9
20	Middlesbrough	8	2	1	5	-1	7
21	Rotherham	9	1	4	4	-7	7
22	Reading	9	2	1	6	-10	7
23	Millwall	9	1	3	5	-7	6
24	Huddersfield	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.