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Premier League

Referee: J Brooks

Tottenham

S T T S U

0–2

Full-time

Aston Villa

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

4,2

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

56%

31%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

6 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 5. · Aston Villa 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	16	14	1	1	+26	43
2	Man City	16	11	3	2	+28	36
3	Newcastle	17	9	7	1	+21	34
4	Man United	16	10	2	4	+4	32
5	Tottenham	16	9	3	4	+10	30
6	Liverpool	16	8	4	4	+14	28
7	Fulham	17	7	4	6	+2	25
8	Brighton	16	7	3	6	+4	24
9	Chelsea	15	7	3	5	+2	24
10	Brentford	17	5	8	4	+0	23
11	Crystal Palace	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Aston Villa	16	5	3	8	-8	18
13	Leicester	17	5	2	10	-4	17
14	Leeds	16	4	4	8	-6	16
15	Bournemouth	17	4	4	9	-18	16
16	Everton	17	3	6	8	-7	15
17	West Ham	17	4	2	11	-9	14
18	Wolves	17	3	4	10	-16	13
19	Nott'm Forest	16	3	4	9	-22	13
20	Southampton	17	3	3	11	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	9	7	1	1	+21	22
2	Arsenal	7	7	0	0	+14	21
3	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	+14	20
4	Newcastle	9	5	4	0	+12	19
5	Tottenham	8	6	0	2	+10	18
6	Man United	7	5	1	1	+8	16
7	Fulham	9	4	3	2	+2	15
8	Chelsea	7	4	2	1	+6	14
9	Brentford	8	3	4	1	+6	13
10	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+3	13
11	Crystal Palace	8	4	1	3	-1	13
12	Brighton	8	3	2	3	+3	11
13	Leeds	8	3	2	3	+1	11
14	Nott'm Forest	8	3	2	3	-1	11
15	Bournemouth	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	West Ham	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	Leicester	8	2	2	4	+0	8
18	Everton	8	2	2	4	-1	8
19	Wolves	9	2	2	5	-9	8
20	Southampton	8	1	3	4	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Man United	9	5	1	3	-4	16
3	Newcastle	8	4	3	1	+9	15
4	Man City	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Brighton	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Tottenham	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	Fulham	8	3	1	4	+0	10
8	Chelsea	8	3	1	4	-4	10
9	Brentford	9	2	4	3	-6	10
10	Crystal Palace	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Leicester	9	3	0	6	-4	9
12	Liverpool	7	2	2	3	+0	8
13	Everton	9	1	4	4	-6	7
14	Southampton	9	2	0	7	-11	6
15	Leeds	8	1	2	5	-7	5
16	Wolves	8	1	2	5	-7	5
17	Aston Villa	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Bournemouth	8	1	2	5	-17	5
19	West Ham	8	1	1	6	-6	4
20	Nott'm Forest	8	0	2	6	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.