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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Cartagena
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Alaves
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 5. · Alaves 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 6 4 2 0 +4 14
2 Eibar 7 4 1 2 +4 13
3 Las Palmas 6 3 3 0 +7 12
4 Granada 6 4 0 2 +3 12
5 Cartagena 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Sp Gijon 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Burgos 7 2 5 0 +2 11
8 Villarreal B 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Albacete 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Andorra 7 3 2 2 -1 11
11 Levante 7 2 4 1 +4 10
12 Huesca 7 3 1 3 +2 10
13 Ponferradina 7 3 1 3 -1 10
14 Oviedo 7 2 3 2 +0 9
15 Tenerife 7 2 2 3 -1 8
16 Lugo 7 2 2 3 -2 8
17 Zaragoza 7 2 2 3 -2 8
18 Ibiza 7 2 1 4 -5 7
19 Mirandes 7 1 2 4 -5 5
20 Leganes 7 1 1 5 -4 4
21 Santander 7 1 1 5 -5 4
22 Malaga 7 1 1 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Alaves
Jairo Izquierdo González 🟨
14′
Borja Valle 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Róber
↦ A. Rebbach
1–0 A. Sadiku
47′
47′
Miguel de la Fuente 1–1
Róber
48′
🔁 A. Abqar
↦ A. Sedlar
63′
🟨 Carlos Benavídez
Óscar 🔁
↦ Borja Valle
70′
74′
🔁 T. Hara
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
74′
🔁 Toni Moya
↦ Salva Sevilla
Adrian Sanmartin 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
85′
Sangalli 🔁
↦ D. Musto
85′
86′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Rubén Duarte
Toni Datković 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-3-3
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
17 Mikel Rico M
18 D. Musto M
8 P. De Blasis M
10 Borja Valle F
19 A. Sadiku F
20 Jairo Izquierdo F
Bench (10)
11 Óscar
29 Adrian Sanmartin
15 Sangalli
1 Marc Martínez
5 Pablo Vázquez
35 I. Pais
27 Sergio Díaz
28 Neskes
22 Delmás
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok

Coach: Luis Carrión

Alaves

4-4-1-1
1 Sivera G
14 N. Tenaglia D
19 N. Maraš D
4 A. Sedlar D
3 Rubén Duarte D
17 Xeber Alkain M
23 C. Benavídez M
8 Salva Sevilla M
21 A. Rebbach M
18 Jon Guridi F
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
22 A. Abqar
20 Róber
24 T. Hara
6 Toni Moya
27 Javi López
28 Álex Balboa
34 Unai Ropero
31 Jesús Owono
2 A. Arroyo
32 Imanol Baz
33 Adrián
10 Jason

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U ✓
3,22
B
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.