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LaLiga2
Referee: Rubén Ávalos
Burgos
S U S U U
1–0
Full-time
Cartagena
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
0,7
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
0,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,3
3,7
Scored
0,3
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 5
19 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 13. · Cartagena 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Albacete 4 3 1 0 +3 10
2 Granada 4 3 0 1 +6 9
3 Las Palmas 4 2 2 0 +6 8
4 Sp Gijon 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Alaves 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 Villarreal B 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Eibar 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Cartagena 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Oviedo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
10 Ponferradina 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Andorra 4 2 0 2 -3 6
12 Levante 3 1 2 0 +2 5
13 Burgos 3 1 2 0 +1 5
14 Lugo 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Tenerife 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Leganes 4 1 0 3 -2 3
17 Malaga 4 1 0 3 -4 3
18 Zaragoza 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Huesca 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 Ibiza 3 0 1 2 -3 1
21 Mirandes 4 0 1 3 -6 1
22 Santander 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Cartagena
Pablo Valcarce 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Álex Bermejo
46′
56′
🔁 Borja Valle
↦ David Ferreiro
Miki Muñoz 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
63′
Mourad 🔁
↦ Juan Artola
63′
65′
🔁 Jairo Izquierdo
↦ Sangalli
65′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ Pablo Vázquez
Jesús Areso 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
74′
79′
🔁 Neskes
↦ I. Jansson
80′
🔁 Delmás
↦ Iván Calero
Saúl Berjón 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
81′
Fran García 🔁
↦ Borja González
81′
86′
🟨 Toni Datković
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego Sierra D
6 Raúl Navarro D
14 Unai Elgezabal M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Gaspar Campos M
8 Pablo Valcarce M
10 Álex Bermejo M
7 Juan Artola F
Bench (8)
22 Miki Muñoz
9 Mourad
19 Jesús Areso
21 Saúl Berjón
3 Fran García
4 Míchel Zabaco
1 Dani Barrio
15 Juan Hernández

Coach: Julián Calero

Cartagena

4-3-3
1 Marc Martínez G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
5 Pablo Vázquez D
6 T. Datković D
15 Sangalli M
17 Mikel Rico M
8 P. De Blasis M
7 David Ferreiro F
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
24 I. Jansson F
Bench (9)
10 Borja Valle
20 Jairo Izquierdo
19 A. Sadiku
28 Neskes
22 Delmás
11 Óscar
26 José Mari
35 I. Pais
13 Aarón Escandell

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
U
3,09
B
2,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rubén Ávalos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.