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LaLiga2

Referee: Iosu Galech

Lugo

S T U S S

1–2

Full-time

Alaves

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

14 Shots 20

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 11

5 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 6

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugo 9. · Alaves 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	5	3	2	0	+7	11
2	Albacete	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Granada	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Sp Gijon	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Burgos	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Villarreal B	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Lugo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Oviedo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Levante	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	Cartagena	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Ponferradina	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Andorra	4	2	0	2	-3	6
15	Huesca	4	1	1	2	+1	4
16	Tenerife	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Leganes	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Malaga	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Zaragoza	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Mirandes	4	0	1	3	-6	1
21	Ibiza	4	0	1	3	-6	1
22	Santander	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Granada	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Eibar	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Burgos	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Villarreal B	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Levante	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Oviedo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Huesca	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Cartagena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Lugo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Zaragoza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Ibiza	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Santander	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Albacete	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lugo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Granada	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Ponferradina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Cartagena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Villarreal B	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Andorra	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Levante	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Burgos	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Zaragoza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Tenerife	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Santander	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-3	0
21	Ibiza	2	0	0	2	-4	0
22	Mirandes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.