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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Alaves
T S T T S
1–0
Full-time
Mirandes
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 5. · Mirandes 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal B 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Ponferradina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Sp Gijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Zaragoza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Cartagena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Tenerife 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Santander 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Mirandes
40′
🟨 Raúl Parra
1–0 Xeber Alkain
43′
Half-time 1–0
Javi López 🟨
60′
Luis Rioja 🟨
61′
65′
🔁 Jofre Carreras
↦ Juanlu Sánchez
65′
🔁 Manu García
↦ Oriol Rey
Rubén Duarte 🔁
↦ Javi López
73′
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
73′
Jason 🔁
↦ Xeber Alkain
81′
A. Rebbach 🔁
↦ Luis Rioja
81′
88′
🟨 Álex Martín
Toni Moya 🔁
↦ Jon Guridi
88′
91′
🟨 Nikolaos Michelis
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Alaves

4-2-3-1
1 Sivera G
14 N. Tenaglia D
22 A. Abqar D
19 N. Maraš D
27 Javi López D
4 A. Sedlar M
8 Salva Sevilla M
17 Xeber Alkain M
18 Jon Guridi M
11 Luis Rioja M
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
3 Rubén Duarte
7 M. Sylla
10 Jason
21 A. Rebbach
6 Toni Moya
33 Adrián
26 Joseda Álvarez
31 Jesús Owono
2 A. Arroyo
29 A. Mahmoud
28 Álex Balboa
24 T. Hara

Coach: Luis García

Mirandes

4-2-3-1
1 Ramón Juan G
3 Raúl Parra D
4 Álex Martín D
27 N. Michelis D
12 José Salinas D
6 Beñat Prados M
20 Oriol Rey M
21 Roberto López M
8 Juanlu Sánchez M
7 Nico Serrano M
9 Raúl García F
Bench (10)
22 Jofre Carreras
19 Manu García
26 Barbu
31 Iago Domínguez
30 Salifo Caropitche
33 Gudiño
29 Juan Durán
2 Sergio Santos
13 Alfonso Herrero
32 Nacho Castillo

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
U
3,64
B
5,18
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.