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LaLiga2

Referee: Dámaso Arcediano

Ponferradina

S T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Burgos

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Burgos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

47%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

53%

18%

Both score Ø 36%

59%

12%

Average goals

2,5

1,2

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,5

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 0

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 20. · Burgos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	18	9	7	2	+12	34
2	Alaves	18	9	7	2	+6	34
3	Burgos	17	8	7	2	+9	31
4	Levante	18	8	7	3	+7	31
5	Cartagena	18	9	4	5	+6	31
6	Eibar	18	8	6	4	+5	30
7	Granada	18	8	4	6	+9	28
8	Andorra	18	8	3	7	+6	27
9	Leganes	18	7	4	7	+1	25
10	Albacete	18	6	7	5	-3	25
11	Huesca	18	6	6	6	+1	24
12	Villarreal B	18	6	6	6	-2	24
13	Sp Gijon	18	5	8	5	+0	23
14	Oviedo	18	6	5	7	-2	23
15	Zaragoza	18	5	6	7	-3	21
16	Tenerife	18	5	5	8	-3	20
17	Mirandes	18	4	7	7	-4	19
18	Santander	18	4	6	8	-5	18
19	Lugo	18	4	6	8	-7	18
20	Ponferradina	17	4	5	8	-8	17
21	Malaga	18	3	5	10	-10	14
22	Ibiza	18	3	3	12	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Eibar	9	6	3	0	+9	21
3	Alaves	9	6	3	0	+8	21
4	Villarreal B	9	5	4	0	+8	19
5	Burgos	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Huesca	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Las Palmas	9	5	3	1	+6	18
8	Levante	9	5	2	2	+6	17
9	Cartagena	9	5	2	2	+4	17
10	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+3	17
11	Mirandes	10	4	4	2	+3	16
12	Andorra	9	5	0	4	+8	15
13	Sp Gijon	9	4	3	2	+5	15
14	Tenerife	9	4	3	2	+4	15
15	Albacete	9	3	4	2	+1	13
16	Zaragoza	9	3	4	2	+0	13
17	Oviedo	9	4	1	4	-1	13
18	Lugo	9	2	4	3	+0	10
19	Ponferradina	8	2	3	3	-2	9
20	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-4	9
21	Ibiza	9	2	2	5	-5	8
22	Santander	9	1	4	4	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	9	4	4	1	+6	16
2	Cartagena	9	4	2	3	+2	14
3	Levante	9	3	5	1	+1	14
4	Burgos	8	3	4	1	+2	13
5	Alaves	9	3	4	2	-2	13
6	Andorra	9	3	3	3	-2	12
7	Albacete	9	3	3	3	-4	12
8	Santander	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Oviedo	9	2	4	3	-1	10
10	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Leganes	9	2	2	5	-2	8
12	Zaragoza	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Sp Gijon	9	1	5	3	-5	8
14	Ponferradina	9	2	2	5	-6	8
15	Lugo	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Huesca	9	1	3	5	-5	6
17	Malaga	10	1	2	7	-6	5
18	Tenerife	9	1	2	6	-7	5
19	Granada	9	1	2	6	-9	5
20	Villarreal B	9	1	2	6	-10	5
21	Ibiza	9	1	1	7	-10	4
22	Mirandes	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.