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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Leganes
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Ponferradina
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leganes 14. · Ponferradina 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 15 8 6 1 +6 30
2 Burgos 15 7 6 2 +8 27
3 Las Palmas 14 7 5 2 +9 26
4 Eibar 14 7 4 3 +5 25
5 Cartagena 14 7 3 4 +5 24
6 Levante 14 6 5 3 +5 23
7 Huesca 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 Granada 14 6 4 4 +5 22
9 Albacete 14 5 7 2 +3 22
10 Andorra 15 6 3 6 +2 21
11 Sp Gijon 14 5 5 4 +1 20
12 Villarreal B 15 5 5 5 -1 20
13 Santander 15 4 6 5 -2 18
14 Leganes 14 5 2 7 -1 17
15 Tenerife 15 4 5 6 -2 17
16 Zaragoza 15 4 4 7 -4 16
17 Ponferradina 14 4 4 6 -6 16
18 Lugo 14 3 4 7 -4 13
19 Oviedo 14 3 4 7 -5 13
20 Mirandes 14 2 6 6 -6 12
21 Ibiza 14 3 2 9 -12 11
22 Malaga 14 2 3 9 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leganes Ponferradina
-5′
🟥 Erik Morán
Jorge Sáenz 🟨
6′
1–0 Juan Muñoz
Miramón
18′
Juan Muñoz ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
21′
23′
🟨 Agus Medina
35′
José Amo 1–1
A. Pașcanu
2–1 José Arnáiz
Iker Undabarrena
38′
Half-time 2–1
57′
🟨 Adrián Castellano
65′
🔁 Heriberto Tavares
↦ Adrián Castellano
65′
🔁 Edu Espiau
↦ Aldair
Dani Raba 🔁
↦ Iker Undabarrena
76′
Fede Vico 🔁
↦ José Arnáiz
76′
78′
🔁 Yuri
↦ Dani Ojeda
Y. Qasmi 🔁
↦ Juan Muñoz
82′
87′
🔁 Hugo Vallejo
↦ Derik Lacerda
87′
🔁 J. Lukaku
↦ Adrián Diéguez
Josema Sánchez 🔁
↦ R. Durmisi
91′
Rubén Pardo 🔁
↦ G. Shibasaki
91′
Fede Vico 🟥
95′
Yacine Qasmi 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 José Amo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Leganes

5-3-2
13 Asier Riesgo G
21 Miramón D
2 A. Nyom D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
22 R. Durmisi D
32 S. Cissé M
20 Iker Undabarrena M
8 G. Shibasaki M
11 Juan Muñoz F
10 José Arnáiz F
Bench (12)
17 Dani Raba
14 Fede Vico
9 Y. Qasmi
5 Josema Sánchez
18 Rubén Pardo
24 P. Parzyszek
30 Javi Garrido
33 Lalo Aguilar
7 Javier Avilés
35 Sergio Camacho
27 Naim García
38 Christian

Coach: Imanol Idiakez

Ponferradina

3-4-3
1 A. Abedzadeh G
5 José Amo D
4 A. Pașcanu D
3 Adrián Diéguez D
2 Aldair M
11 K. Nwakali M
8 Agus Medina M
15 Adrián Castellano M
7 Dani Ojeda F
23 Derik Lacerda F
20 José Naranjo F
Bench (12)
17 Heriberto Tavares
19 Edu Espiau
10 Yuri
30 Hugo Vallejo
12 J. Lukaku
16 Moi Delgado
14 Ricard Pujol
18 Erik Morán
13 G. Makaridze
24 S. Abdulai
26 Ibrahim Covi
32 M. Soumarè

Coach: José Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,47
B
5,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.