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LaLiga2
Referee: Jon González
Burgos
S S T U S
2–2
Full-time
Zaragoza
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
1,3
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 16%
13%
19%
Both score Ø 19%
6%
31%
Average goals
1,1
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,6
Conceded
0,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 3. · Zaragoza 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 17 9 7 1 +8 34
2 Las Palmas 17 8 7 2 +11 31
3 Burgos 16 8 6 2 +9 30
4 Levante 16 7 6 3 +6 27
5 Eibar 16 7 6 3 +5 27
6 Granada 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Cartagena 16 7 4 5 +4 25
8 Albacete 17 6 7 4 -1 25
9 Andorra 16 7 3 6 +6 24
10 Huesca 17 6 6 5 +2 24
11 Sp Gijon 17 5 8 4 +1 23
12 Villarreal B 17 6 5 6 -2 23
13 Leganes 16 6 3 7 +0 21
14 Tenerife 17 5 5 7 -2 20
15 Oviedo 17 5 5 7 -3 20
16 Santander 17 4 6 7 -4 18
17 Zaragoza 16 4 5 7 -4 17
18 Ponferradina 17 4 5 8 -8 17
19 Mirandes 17 3 7 7 -6 16
20 Lugo 16 3 5 8 -8 14
21 Malaga 17 3 5 9 -9 14
22 Ibiza 16 3 3 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Zaragoza
Míchel Zabaco 🔁
↦ Unai Elgezabal
15′
39′
🟨 Jaume Grau
Miguel Atienza 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
55′
Jair Amador 0–1
Sergio Bermejo
Miki Muñoz 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
59′
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Raúl Navarro
59′
Pablo Valcarce 🔁
↦ Mourad
59′
1–1 Gaspar Campos
José Matos
65′
Miguel Muñoz Mora 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 R. Petrović
↦ Jaume Grau
76′
🔁 V. Vada
↦ Gaizka Larrazabal
85′
🔁 Miguel Puche
↦ Alberto Zapater
85′
🔁 Francho Serrano
↦ Víctor Mollejo
Juan Hernández 🔁
↦ Gaspar Campos
86′
89′
🟨 Radosav Petrović
90′
Miguel Atienza 2–1
own goal
Aitor Córdoba Querejeta 🟨
91′
3–1 Curro Sánchez
Miki Muñoz
92′
97′
🟥 Radosav Petrović
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
23 José Matos D
6 Raúl Navarro M
5 Miguel Atienza M
16 Curro Sánchez M
11 Gaspar Campos M
10 Álex Bermejo M
9 Mourad F
Bench (9)
4 Míchel Zabaco
22 Miki Muñoz
7 Juan Artola
8 Pablo Valcarce
15 Juan Hernández
1 Dani Barrio
2 Borja González
3 Fran García
21 Saúl Berjón

Coach: Julián Calero

Zaragoza

4-4-2
13 Álvaro Ratón G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
2 G. Fuentes D
12 Gaizka Larrazabal M
21 Alberto Zapater M
5 Jaume Grau M
10 Sergio Bermejo M
28 Víctor Mollejo F
20 G. Simeone F
Bench (12)
4 R. Petrović
11 V. Vada
7 Miguel Puche
14 Francho Serrano
6 Alejandro Francés
22 Carlos Vigaray
35 Dani Rebollo
17 Carlos Nieto
15 J. Quinteros
23 Manu Molina
19 M. Gueye
8 Eugeni Valderrama

Coach: Carcedo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,58
U ✓
2,86
B
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,82
U2,5
1,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jon González · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.