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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Eibar
S U U U T
1–1
Full-time
Zaragoza
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 41%
50%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
36%
33%
Both score Ø 41%
42%
39%
Average goals
1,9
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
17 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 9
5 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 1. · Zaragoza 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 36 18 11 7 +10 65
2 Granada 36 19 7 10 +20 64
3 Las Palmas 36 16 14 6 +16 62
4 Alaves 36 17 11 8 +14 62
5 Levante 36 15 16 5 +13 61
6 Albacete 36 14 13 9 +4 55
7 Cartagena 36 15 8 13 +4 53
8 Burgos 36 12 14 10 +3 50
9 Andorra 36 13 9 14 +6 48
10 Zaragoza 36 11 14 11 +1 47
11 Tenerife 36 11 13 12 +3 46
12 Huesca 36 10 16 10 +1 46
13 Villarreal B 36 12 10 14 -4 46
14 Oviedo 36 12 10 14 -4 46
15 Leganes 36 12 10 14 -5 46
16 Sp Gijon 36 10 15 11 -1 45
17 Mirandes 36 11 12 13 -3 45
18 Santander 36 10 11 15 -5 41
19 Malaga 36 8 12 16 -8 36
20 Ponferradina 36 7 15 14 -14 36
21 Ibiza 36 6 11 19 -27 29
22 Lugo 36 5 12 19 -24 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Zaragoza
Chema 🟨
-5′
33′
🟨 Fran Gámez
Half-time 0–0
Álvaro Vadillo 🔁
↦ Y. Rahmani
46′
Álvaro Tejero 🔁
↦ Sergio Álvarez
46′
47′
Jair Amador 0–1
Stoichkov 🟨
48′
Juan Berrocal 🟨
57′
Álvaro Vadillo ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
66′
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
67′
Álvaro Vadillo 🟥
67′
67′
🟨 Lluís López
Ríos Reina 🔁
↦ Juan Berrocal
76′
Arana 🔁
↦ Jon Bautista
77′
1–1 Álvaro Tejero
Ríos Reina
77′
78′
🔁 Alberto Zapater
↦ Jaume Grau
78′
🔁 V. Vada
↦ Bebé
79′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ Ivan Azón
Peru Nolaskoain 🔁
↦ José Corpas
81′
Juan Carlos Arana ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
86′
88′
🔁 Miguel Puche
↦ G. Simeone
90′
🔁 Gaizka Larrazabal
↦ Sergio Bermejo
98′
🟨 Miguel Puche
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
25 L. Zidane G
6 Sergio Álvarez D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
17 José Corpas M
14 Javi Muñoz M
8 Matheus Pereira M
11 Y. Rahmani M
18 Jon Bautista F
19 Stoichkov F
Bench (12)
21 Álvaro Vadillo
15 Álvaro Tejero
16 Ríos Reina
20 Arana
22 Peru Nolaskoain
13 Yoel
7 Quique González
2 Chema Rodríguez
9 G. Blanco
24 Daniel Lasure
31 Ángel Troncho
1 Ander Cantero

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
14 Francho Serrano M
5 Jaume Grau M
4 Bebé M
20 G. Simeone F
9 Ivan Azón F
Bench (12)
21 Alberto Zapater
11 V. Vada
19 M. Gueye
7 Miguel Puche
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
8 Eugeni Valderrama
13 Álvaro Ratón
23 Manu Molina
2 G. Fuentes
15 J. Quinteros
6 Alejandro Francés
38 Pau Sans

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
2,98
B
4,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,83
U2,5 ✓
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.