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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Hamburg

T U U S T

4–3

Full-time

St Pauli

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 52%

57%

46%

Points per game

1,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · St Pauli 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	28	17	7	4	+20	58
2	Heidenheim	28	15	9	4	+25	54
3	Hamburg	28	16	5	7	+19	53
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	28	14	5	9	+12	47
5	St Pauli	28	13	8	7	+12	47
6	Paderborn	28	14	4	10	+20	46
7	Kaiserslautern	28	11	10	7	+6	43
8	Holstein Kiel	28	10	10	8	+2	40
9	Karlsruhe	28	11	6	11	+3	39
10	Greuther Furth	28	9	9	10	-2	36
11	Hannover	28	9	7	12	-6	34
12	Braunschweig	28	8	8	12	-11	32
13	Magdeburg	28	9	5	14	-12	32
14	Nurnberg	28	8	6	14	-17	30
15	Bielefeld	28	8	5	15	-6	29
16	Regensburg	28	7	6	15	-17	27
17	Hansa Rostock	28	7	4	17	-23	25
18	Sandhausen	28	6	6	16	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	14	10	3	1	+21	33
2	Darmstadt	14	9	5	0	+15	32
3	Paderborn	14	10	0	4	+22	30
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Hamburg	14	9	2	3	+16	29
6	St Pauli	14	8	5	1	+12	29
7	Greuther Furth	14	7	6	1	+7	27
8	Kaiserslautern	14	6	6	2	+5	24
9	Karlsruhe	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Hannover	14	6	3	5	+1	21
12	Nurnberg	14	6	2	6	-1	20
13	Holstein Kiel	14	5	4	5	+3	19
14	Regensburg	14	4	6	4	-6	18
15	Bielefeld	14	5	2	7	+1	17
16	Magdeburg	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Sandhausen	13	3	3	7	-14	12
18	Hansa Rostock	14	3	1	10	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	14	8	2	4	+5	26
2	Hamburg	14	7	3	4	+3	24
3	Heidenheim	14	5	6	3	+4	21
4	Holstein Kiel	14	5	6	3	-1	21
5	Kaiserslautern	14	5	4	5	+1	19
6	St Pauli	14	5	3	6	+0	18
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	5	2	7	-3	17
8	Magdeburg	14	5	2	7	-8	17
9	Paderborn	14	4	4	6	-2	16
10	Karlsruhe	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Hansa Rostock	14	4	3	7	-11	15
12	Hannover	14	3	4	7	-7	13
13	Bielefeld	14	3	3	8	-7	12
14	Sandhausen	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Braunschweig	14	2	5	7	-13	11
16	Nurnberg	14	2	4	8	-16	10
17	Greuther Furth	14	2	3	9	-9	9
18	Regensburg	14	3	0	11	-11	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.