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LaLiga2
Referee: Mateo Busquets
Zaragoza
S U U U S
4–1
Full-time
Santander
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
31%
29%
Both score Ø 40%
37%
43%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

66% Possession 34%
27 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 4
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Zaragoza 13. · Santander 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 36 18 11 7 +10 65
2 Granada 36 19 7 10 +20 64
3 Las Palmas 36 16 14 6 +16 62
4 Alaves 35 17 10 8 +14 61
5 Levante 35 15 16 4 +14 61
6 Albacete 36 14 13 9 +4 55
7 Cartagena 35 15 8 12 +5 53
8 Burgos 35 12 13 10 +3 49
9 Huesca 35 10 16 9 +2 46
10 Villarreal B 35 12 10 13 -3 46
11 Andorra 35 12 9 14 +5 45
12 Sp Gijon 35 10 14 11 -1 44
13 Zaragoza 35 10 14 11 -2 44
14 Tenerife 35 10 13 12 -1 43
15 Oviedo 35 11 10 14 -5 43
16 Leganes 35 11 10 14 -6 43
17 Mirandes 35 10 12 13 -4 42
18 Santander 35 10 11 14 -2 41
19 Ponferradina 35 7 14 14 -14 35
20 Malaga 35 7 12 16 -9 33
21 Ibiza 35 6 11 18 -23 29
22 Lugo 35 5 12 18 -23 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Santander
17′
ℹ️ Íñigo Sáinz-Maza
VAR: Card upgrade
18′
🟥 Íñigo Sáinz-Maza
1–0 G. Simeone
Bebé
20′
22′
🟥 Miquel Parera
25′
🔁 Jokin Ezkieta
↦ Matheus Aiás
2–0 Sergio Bermejo
26′
Jaume Grau 🟨
29′
Bebé 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
Alberto Zapater 🔁
↦ Jaume Grau
46′
46′
🔁 Fausto Tienza
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
46′
🔁 Pol Moreno
↦ Germán Sánchez
46′
🔁 Peque Fernández
↦ Iñigo Vicente
3–0 Ivan Azón
47′
4–0 G. Simeone
Alberto Zapater
61′
Eugeni Valderrama 🔁
↦ Sergio Bermejo
64′
Manu Molina 🔁
↦ Francho Serrano
64′
Miguel Puche 🔁
↦ Bebé
75′
Pau Sans 🔁
↦ Ivan Azón
75′
80′
🔁 Álvaro Mantilla
↦ Jorge Pombo
82′
ℹ️ Rubén
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Lluís López 🟨
83′
84′
Peque Fernández 4–1
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
14 Francho Serrano M
5 Jaume Grau M
4 Bebé M
9 Ivan Azón F
20 G. Simeone F
Bench (12)
21 Alberto Zapater
8 Eugeni Valderrama
23 Manu Molina
7 Miguel Puche
38 Pau Sans
6 Alejandro Francés
11 V. Vada
15 J. Quinteros
19 M. Gueye
2 G. Fuentes
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
13 Álvaro Ratón

Coach: Fran Escribá

Santander

4-2-3-1
1 Miquel Parera G
17 Unai Medina D
16 Germán Sánchez D
15 Rubén González D
18 Saúl García D
6 Íñigo Sainz Maza M
21 Aritz Aldasoro M
20 J. Elitim M
24 Jorge Pombo M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
19 Matheus Aiás F
Bench (12)
13 Jokin Ezkieta
8 Fausto Tienza
4 Pol Moreno
29 Peque Fernández
2 Álvaro Mantilla
23 Dani Fernández
41 Yeray Cabanzón
3 Eneko Satrústegui
9 C. Omoigui
11 R. Baturina
40 Mario García
12 S. Gassama

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
2,97
B
3,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,78
U2,5
1,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mateo Busquets · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,44 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.