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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Warta Poznan

U S U T S

1–0

Full-time

Legia

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Legia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 48%

39%

57%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

29%

54%

Both score Ø 45%

36%

54%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

10 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Warta Poznan 5. · Legia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	28	20	5	3	+35	65
2	Legia	28	16	9	3	+15	57
3	Lech Poznan	28	13	9	6	+13	48
4	Pogon Szczecin	28	13	8	7	+4	47
5	Warta Poznan	28	11	8	9	+7	41
6	Piast Gliwice	28	11	6	11	+3	39
7	Cracovia	28	10	8	10	+6	38
8	Widzew Lodz	28	10	8	10	-1	38
9	Jagiellonia	29	8	12	9	+3	36
10	Wisla Plock	29	10	6	13	-1	36
11	Stal Mielec	28	9	8	11	-2	35
12	Radomiak Radom	28	9	7	12	-6	34
13	Korona Kielce	28	9	7	12	-8	34
14	Gornik Zabrze	28	8	8	12	-5	32
15	Slask Wroclaw	28	7	10	11	-12	31
16	Zaglebie	28	8	7	13	-16	31
17	Lechia Gdansk	28	7	5	16	-19	26
18	Legnica	28	4	9	15	-16	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	13	1	0	+29	40
2	Legia	14	9	5	0	+13	32
3	Wisla Plock	15	8	3	4	+8	27
4	Cracovia	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Jagiellonia	14	7	2	5	+6	23
6	Lech Poznan	14	7	2	5	+6	23
7	Korona Kielce	14	7	2	5	+2	23
8	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	4	3	+2	22
9	Warta Poznan	14	4	6	4	+3	18
10	Stal Mielec	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Piast Gliwice	14	5	3	6	+1	18
12	Widzew Lodz	14	5	3	6	-1	18
13	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	6	4	-3	18
14	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	4	6	-5	16
15	Legnica	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Radomiak Radom	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Zaglebie	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	6	7	1	+7	25
2	Rakow	14	7	4	3	+6	25
3	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	4	4	+2	25
4	Legia	14	7	4	3	+2	25
5	Warta Poznan	14	7	2	5	+4	23
6	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Widzew Lodz	14	5	5	4	+0	20
8	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-5	20
9	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	2	7	-4	17
12	Jagiellonia	15	1	10	4	-3	13
13	Cracovia	14	3	4	7	-5	13
14	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	4	7	-9	13
15	Korona Kielce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
16	Lechia Gdansk	14	3	1	10	-14	10
17	Wisla Plock	14	2	3	9	-9	9
18	Legnica	14	1	3	10	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.