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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Alcorcon
T U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Cartagena
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 14%
18%
9%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
55%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alcorcon 20. · Cartagena 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 12 8 1 3 +14 25
2 Espanol 12 7 2 3 +10 23
3 Levante 12 6 5 1 +6 23
4 Tenerife 12 7 2 3 +5 23
5 Eibar 12 7 1 4 +4 22
6 Valladolid 12 7 1 4 +4 22
7 Santander 12 6 3 3 +6 21
8 Sp Gijon 12 6 3 3 +5 21
9 Zaragoza 12 6 2 4 +4 20
10 Ferrol 12 4 5 3 -1 17
11 Burgos 12 5 1 6 -2 16
12 Elche 12 4 4 4 -4 16
13 Oviedo 12 3 5 4 +2 14
14 Mirandes 12 4 2 6 -2 14
15 Albacete 12 4 2 6 -6 14
16 Villarreal B 12 3 4 5 -2 13
17 Eldense 12 3 4 5 -6 13
18 Andorra 12 4 1 7 -6 13
19 Amorebieta 12 2 4 6 -7 10
20 Alcorcon 11 2 3 6 -9 9
21 Huesca 12 1 5 6 -6 8
22 Cartagena 11 1 2 8 -9 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alcorcon Cartagena
Chema 🟨
-5′
1–0 Chiki
E. Addai
15′
Óscar Rivas 🔁
↦ Chema Rodríguez
36′
Yan Eteki 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
49′
J. Narváez 1–1
Alfredo Ortuño
57′
🟨 Mikel Rico
62′
🔁 Juan Carlos Real
↦ Mikel Rico
62′
🔁 Úmaro Embaló
↦ David Ferreiro
Álex López 🔁
↦ Y. Eteki
73′
Koldo Obieta 🔁
↦ Jacobo González
73′
Iago López 🔁
↦ Xavi Quintillà
73′
81′
🔁 Iván Ayllón
↦ J. Narváez
82′
🔁 Jony Álamo
↦ Luis Muñoz
82′
🔁 Gonzalo Verdú
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Chiki
87′
92′
🟨 Pedro Alcalá
93′
🟨 Ivan Calero
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Alcorcon

3-4-3
1 Jesús Ruiz G
2 Javi Castro D
6 J. Babin D
23 Chema Rodríguez D
17 Víctor García M
18 Y. Eteki M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
19 Xavi Quintillà M
8 Jacobo González F
9 Chiki F
26 E. Addai F
Bench (8)
4 Óscar Rivas
14 Álex López
21 Koldo Obieta
20 Iago López
22 Juan Artola
15 Javi Lara
13 Lucas Anacker
29 Èric Callis

Coach: Fran Fernández

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
1 Marc Martínez G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
14 José Fontán D
20 Jairo Izquierdo D
23 T. Alarcón M
17 Mikel Rico M
7 David Ferreiro M
8 Luis Muñoz M
12 J. Narváez M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (10)
11 Juan Carlos Real
19 Úmaro Embaló
35 Iván Ayllón
32 Jony Álamo
5 Gonzalo Verdú
18 D. Musto
29 L. de León
13 Raúl Lizoain
24 Jony
22 Kiko Olivas

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U ✓
3,21
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.