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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Oviedo
S T S T U
3–2
Full-time
Elche
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
32%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
26%
26%
Both score Ø 40%
37%
42%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 11. · Elche 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 19 11 4 4 +18 37
2 Valladolid 19 11 2 6 +4 35
3 Sp Gijon 19 9 6 4 +11 33
4 Espanol 19 9 5 5 +10 32
5 Eibar 19 9 4 6 +8 31
6 Ferrol 19 8 7 4 +3 31
7 Tenerife 19 9 3 7 +3 30
8 Santander 19 8 5 6 +5 29
9 Elche 19 8 5 6 +0 29
10 Levante 19 7 7 5 +0 28
11 Oviedo 19 6 8 5 +6 26
12 Zaragoza 19 7 5 7 +0 26
13 Burgos 19 7 5 7 -1 26
14 Mirandes 19 6 6 7 -1 24
15 Albacete 19 6 6 7 -4 24
16 Eldense 19 6 6 7 -5 24
17 Andorra 19 6 4 9 -6 22
18 Villarreal B 19 5 5 9 -8 20
19 Huesca 19 4 7 8 -4 19
20 Cartagena 19 3 6 10 -11 15
21 Amorebieta 19 3 5 11 -12 14
22 Alcorcon 19 3 5 11 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Elche
4′
Óscar Plano 0–1
Viti Rozada 🔁
↦ Lucas Ahijado
22′
1–1 Masca
Sebas Moyano
31′
40′
N. Fernández Mercau 1–2
Half-time 1–2
59′
🟨 Rodrigo Mendoza
60′
🟨 Aleix Febas
2–2 Borja Bastón
Masca
68′
69′
🟨 Sergio Carreira
Santiago Colombatto 🟨
73′
Jimmy Suárez 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 Borja Garcés
↦ Mourad
75′
🔁 Raúl Guti
↦ Óscar Plano
Alemão 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
82′
Mario Sesè 🔁
↦ Jaime Seoane
82′
86′
🔁 Diego González
↦ Mario Gaspar
88′
🔁 José Salinas
↦ Aleix Febas
88′
🔁 Adam Boayar
↦ Tete Morente
3–2 Sebas Moyano
S. Colombatto
89′
92′
🟨 Nicolás Fernández
Yayo 🔁
↦ Jimmy
94′
Carlos Pomares 🔁
↦ Masca
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
31 Leo Román G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
6 Jimmy M
16 Jaime Seoane M
11 S. Colombatto M
17 Sebas Moyano M
20 Masca F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (8)
7 Viti Rozada
14 Alemão
28 Mario Sesè
34 Yayo
21 Carlos Pomares
1 Q. Braat
35 Jaime Vázquez
32 Álex Cardero

Coach: Luis Carrión

Elche

4-4-2
1 Miguel San Román G
24 Sergio Carreira D
2 Mario Gaspar D
6 Pedro Bigas D
23 Carlos Clerc D
22 N. Fernández Mercau M
14 Aleix Febas M
30 Rodrigo Mendoza M
11 Tete Morente M
19 Mourad F
7 Óscar Plano F
Bench (12)
18 Borja Garcés
8 Raúl Guti
4 Diego González
12 José Salinas
32 Adam Boayar
20 Cristian Salvador
9 Sergio León
16 Fidel
34 Javier Pamies
5 John Donald
13 Edgar Badia
3 L. Blanco

Coach: S. Beccacece

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
2,99
B
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,58
U2,5
1,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.