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Serie B

Referee: A Prontera

Spezia

U U T T S

1–0

Full-time

Bari

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

56%

38%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

63%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 19. · Bari 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	16	10	4	2	+16	34
2	Venezia	16	10	3	3	+12	33
3	Como	16	9	4	3	+5	31
4	Catanzaro	16	9	3	4	+7	30
5	Cremonese	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Cittadella	16	8	4	4	+2	28
7	Modena	16	7	5	4	+1	26
8	Palermo	16	7	4	5	+7	25
9	Sampdoria	16	6	3	7	-1	21
10	Bari	16	4	9	3	-1	21
11	Cosenza	16	5	4	7	-1	19
12	Brescia	16	4	7	5	-1	19
13	Pisa	16	4	6	6	-3	18
14	Sudtirol	16	4	5	7	-1	17
15	Reggiana	16	3	8	5	-4	17
16	Lecco	16	4	4	8	-9	16
17	Ternana	16	3	5	8	-3	14
18	Ascoli	16	3	4	9	-7	13
19	Spezia	16	2	7	7	-9	13
20	FeralpiSalo	16	1	4	11	-20	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	9	5	4	0	+8	19
2	Venezia	8	6	1	1	+7	19
3	Como	8	5	2	1	+3	17
4	Cittadella	9	5	2	2	+2	17
5	Catanzaro	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Modena	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Cremonese	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Sampdoria	8	4	0	4	+1	12
9	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	+4	11
10	Bari	8	2	5	1	-1	11
11	Palermo	8	3	1	4	+1	10
12	Sudtirol	8	2	3	3	+1	9
13	Ternana	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	Reggiana	8	1	6	1	-1	9
15	Brescia	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Ascoli	7	2	1	4	+0	7
17	Pisa	8	1	4	3	-2	7
18	Lecco	7	2	1	4	-4	7
19	Spezia	7	0	4	3	-3	4
20	FeralpiSalo	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Parma	7	5	0	2	+8	15
3	Palermo	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Venezia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Catanzaro	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Como	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Modena	8	3	4	1	+2	13
8	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Pisa	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Brescia	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Bari	8	2	4	2	+0	10
12	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Lecco	9	2	3	4	-5	9
14	Spezia	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Sudtirol	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Reggiana	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Cosenza	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Ascoli	9	1	3	5	-7	6
19	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-3	5
20	FeralpiSalo	9	1	2	6	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.