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2. Bundesliga
Referee: W Haslberger
Paderborn
T T S T S
3–0
Full-time
Hansa Rostock
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Hansa Rostock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 38%
44%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
81%
56%
Both score Ø 69%
81%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%
24 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
12 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Paderborn 9. · Hansa Rostock 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 16 8 8 0 +16 32
2 Holstein Kiel 16 10 2 4 +7 32
3 Hamburg 16 8 4 4 +9 28
4 Greuther Furth 16 8 4 4 +7 28
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 8 3 5 +15 27
6 Hannover 16 6 6 4 +10 24
7 Hertha 16 7 3 6 +7 24
8 Elversberg 16 7 3 6 -2 24
9 Paderborn 16 7 3 6 -3 24
10 Nurnberg 16 7 3 6 -7 24
11 Wehen 16 6 3 7 -3 21
12 Magdeburg 16 5 5 6 +3 20
13 Schalke 04 16 6 1 9 -4 19
14 Karlsruhe 16 4 6 6 -1 18
15 Kaiserslautern 16 5 3 8 -7 18
16 Hansa Rostock 16 5 2 9 -8 17
17 Braunschweig 16 3 2 11 -16 11
18 Osnabruck 16 1 5 10 -23 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Hansa Rostock
David Kinsombi 🟨
22′
1–0 A. Grimaldi
23′
Half-time 1–0
Kai Klefisch 🟨
49′
63′
🟥 Markus Kolke
64′
ℹ️ Markus Kolke
VAR: Card upgrade
66′
🔁 N. Körber
↦ C. Kinsombi
2–0 R. Obermair
67′
Sebastian Klaas 🟨
70′
71′
🔁 S. Güler
↦ S. Rhein
72′
🔁 N. Fröling
↦ J. Perea
3–0 K. Klefisch
R. Obermair
75′
77′
🟨 Oliver Hüsing
F. Platte 🔁
↦ A. Grimaldi
78′
S. Conteh 🔁
↦ S. Klaas
85′
R. Leipertz 🔁
↦ I. Ansah
85′
M. Schuster 🔁
↦ K. Klefisch
88′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ D. Kinsombi
88′
91′
🟨 Dennis Dressel
Florent Muslija 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Svante Ingelsson
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-1-2
1 P. Boevink G
17 L. Curda D
16 V. Musliu D
33 M. Hoffmeier D
23 R. Obermair M
27 K. Klefisch M
8 D. Kinsombi M
30 F. Muslija M
26 S. Klaas F
39 A. Grimaldi F
29 I. Ansah F
Bench (9)
36 F. Platte
11 S. Conteh
13 R. Leipertz
6 M. Schuster
22 M. Hansen
35 A. Schulz
15 T. Müller
4 C. Brackelmann
28 M. Flotho

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Hansa Rostock

4-4-2
1 M. Kolke G
19 S. Vasiliadis D
5 O. Hüsing D
4 D. Roßbach D
29 F. Ruschke D
9 K. Pröger M
6 D. Dressel M
8 S. Rhein M
27 C. Kinsombi M
18 J. Perea F
14 S. Ingelsson F
Bench (9)
23 N. Körber
11 S. Güler
10 N. Fröling
13 K. Schumacher
33 P. Nkoa
35 J. Krüger
16 L. Hinterseer
20 L. Scherff
34 J. Lang

Coach: U. Speidel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
U
4,18
B
5,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Haslberger · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.