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LaLiga2
Referee: Oliver De La Fuente
Cartagena
U S U T T
2–0
Full-time
Oviedo
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 35%
29%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
34%
Both score Ø 48%
46%
49%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cartagena 19. · Oviedo 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 36 17 12 7 +26 63
2 Eibar 36 18 7 11 +19 61
3 Valladolid 36 18 7 11 +13 61
4 Espanol 36 15 14 7 +15 59
5 Elche 36 16 9 11 +5 57
6 Oviedo 35 14 13 8 +15 55
7 Sp Gijon 36 15 10 11 +8 55
8 Santander 36 15 9 12 +5 54
9 Ferrol 36 14 12 10 +1 54
10 Burgos 36 15 8 13 -2 53
11 Levante 36 12 16 8 +2 52
12 Tenerife 36 12 10 14 -4 46
13 Zaragoza 36 11 12 13 +1 45
14 Huesca 36 9 15 12 +4 42
15 Eldense 36 10 12 14 -10 42
16 Mirandes 36 10 11 15 -9 41
17 Alcorcon 36 10 10 16 -19 40
18 Albacete 36 9 12 15 -9 39
19 Cartagena 35 10 9 16 -14 39
20 Amorebieta 36 9 10 17 -13 37
21 Andorra 36 9 9 18 -15 36
22 Villarreal B 36 9 9 18 -19 36

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Oviedo
16′
🟨 Santiago Homenchenko
Pedro Alcalá 🟨
22′
29′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
Damián Musto 🟨
34′
44′
🟨 Santiago Homenchenko
44′
🟥 Santiago Homenchenko
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Andy Rodríguez
56′
2–0 Jairo Izquierdo
Luis Muñoz
59′
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ D. Musto
63′
J. Narváez 🔁
↦ Luis Muñoz
63′
69′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ Sebas Moyano
69′
🔁 Lucas Ahijado
↦ Paulino de la Fuente
Darío Poveda 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
71′
Arnau Ortiz 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
71′
72′
🟨 Jaime Seoane
78′
🔁 Jimmy
↦ S. Colombatto
78′
🔁 J. Dubasin
↦ Alemão
Diego Moreno 🔁
↦ Alcalá
82′
84′
🔁 Masca
↦ Jaime Seoane
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-1-4-1
13 Raúl Lizoain G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
22 Kiko Olivas D
14 José Fontán D
18 D. Musto M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
23 T. Alarcón M
6 Andy Rodríguez M
8 Luis Muñoz M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (12)
17 Mikel Rico
12 J. Narváez
10 Darío Poveda
26 Arnau Ortiz
2 Diego Moreno
35 Iván Ayllón
45 Nono
33 Arnau Solà
1 Tomás Mejías
5 Gonzalo Verdú
32 Jony Álamo
11 Juan Carlos Real

Coach: Julián Calero

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
31 Leo Román G
7 Viti Rozada D
15 Oier Luengo D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
13 S. Homenchenko M
11 S. Colombatto M
18 Paulino de la Fuente M
16 Jaime Seoane M
17 Sebas Moyano M
14 Alemão F
Bench (10)
19 Álex Millán
24 Lucas Ahijado
6 Jimmy
22 J. Dubasin
20 Masca
21 Carlos Pomares
9 Borja Bastón
25 Borja Sánchez
1 Q. Braat
33 Aimar Collante

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,20
U
2,97
B
2,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Oliver De La Fuente · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.