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Superligaen

Referee: C Theouli

Nordsjaelland

T S S T S

7–2

Full-time

Aarhus

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 44%

52%

36%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

48%

36%

Both score Ø 54%

52%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,2

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nordsjaelland 4. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	26	16	7	3	+26	+6.7	55
2	Midtjylland	26	16	4	6	+19	+13.2	52
3	FC Copenhagen	26	15	4	7	+22	+16.8	49
4	Nordsjaelland	25	13	7	5	+17	+4.5	46
5	Aarhus	25	9	11	5	+4	+3.6	38
6	Randers FC	26	8	9	9	-7	+0.6	33
7	Viborg	26	9	6	11	-8	-3.7	33
8	Silkeborg	26	8	5	13	-7	+6.9	29
9	Odense	26	6	8	12	-10	-7.4	26
10	Lyngby	26	6	7	13	-17	-5.8	25
11	Vejle	26	5	8	13	-8	-18.7	23
12	Hvidovre IF	26	3	6	17	-31	-16.6	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	13	8	3	2	+14	+9.1	27
2	Brondby	13	8	3	2	+14	+7.1	27
3	FC Copenhagen	13	8	1	4	+14	+12.8	25
4	Nordsjaelland	12	7	4	1	+12	+5.7	25
5	Viborg	13	7	3	3	+6	-1.2	24
6	Aarhus	13	5	4	4	-1	+3.0	19
7	Lyngby	13	4	6	3	+3	+1.2	18
8	Silkeborg	13	5	3	5	+2	+7.9	18
9	Randers FC	13	4	5	4	-2	+3.5	17
10	Vejle	13	3	4	6	-1	-5.6	13
11	Hvidovre IF	13	1	2	10	-20	-4.8	5
12	Odense	13	0	3	10	-17	-3.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	13	8	4	1	+12	-0.4	28
2	Midtjylland	13	8	1	4	+5	+4.0	25
3	FC Copenhagen	13	7	3	3	+8	+4.0	24
4	Odense	13	6	5	2	+7	-4.0	23
5	Nordsjaelland	13	6	3	4	+5	-1.2	21
6	Aarhus	12	4	7	1	+5	+0.7	19
7	Randers FC	13	4	4	5	-5	-2.9	16
8	Silkeborg	13	3	2	8	-9	-1.0	11
9	Vejle	13	2	4	7	-7	-13.1	10
10	Hvidovre IF	13	2	4	7	-11	-11.7	10
11	Viborg	13	2	3	8	-14	-2.6	9
12	Lyngby	13	2	1	10	-20	-6.9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.