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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Oviedo
S U U T U
1–3
Full-time
Cartagena
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Cartagena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
0,8
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
0%
43%
Both score Ø 36%
14%
57%
Average goals
0,9
2,6
Scored
0,4
1,4
Conceded
0,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 14. · Cartagena 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 8 5 3 0 +6 18
2 Las Palmas 8 4 4 0 +9 16
3 Albacete 8 4 2 2 +2 14
4 Andorra 8 4 2 2 +1 14
5 Eibar 7 4 1 2 +4 13
6 Cartagena 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 Sp Gijon 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Burgos 8 2 6 0 +2 12
9 Villarreal B 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Granada 7 4 0 3 +1 12
11 Huesca 7 3 1 3 +2 10
12 Levante 8 2 4 2 +2 10
13 Ponferradina 8 3 1 4 -3 10
14 Oviedo 7 2 3 2 +0 9
15 Tenerife 8 2 3 3 -1 9
16 Lugo 7 2 2 3 -2 8
17 Zaragoza 7 2 2 3 -2 8
18 Ibiza 7 2 1 4 -5 7
19 Mirandes 8 1 3 4 -5 6
20 Santander 8 1 2 5 -5 5
21 Malaga 8 1 2 5 -7 5
22 Leganes 8 1 1 6 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Cartagena
10′
A. Sadiku 0–1
Iván Calero
25′
🟨 Toni Datković
33′
Alcalá 0–2
P. De Blasis
Miguelón 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–2
Ángel Montoro 🔁
↦ M. Flores
46′
S. Obeng 🔁
↦ Sergi Enrich
56′
Abel Bretones 🔁
↦ Javi Mier
56′
61′
🔁 Óscar
↦ Borja Valle
Carlos Pomares Rayo 🟨
67′
Marco Sangalli 🔁
↦ Viti Rozada
67′
Hugo Rama 🔁
↦ Miguelón
75′
75′
🔁 Sangalli
↦ P. De Blasis
80′
Alcalá 0–3
Sangalli
85′
🔁 Adrian Sanmartin
↦ Iván Calero
85′
🔁 Jaime Romero
↦ A. Sadiku
85′
🔁 Delmás
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
92′
🟨 Pedro Alcalá
1–3 Borja Bastón
Marco Sangalli
94′
Borja Bastón ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
96′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-4-2
13 Tomeu Nadal G
2 Miguelón D
4 David Costas D
3 Rodri Tarín D
21 Carlos Pomares D
7 Viti Rozada M
6 Javi Mier M
5 Luismi Sánchez M
11 M. Flores M
23 Sergi Enrich F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (10)
19 Ángel Montoro
16 S. Obeng
28 Abel Bretones
8 Marco Sangalli
20 Hugo Rama
24 Lucas Ahijado
17 D. Aceves
15 Oier Luengo
14 Jimmy Suárez
1 Q. Braat

Coach: Bolo

Cartagena

3-4-1-2
13 Aarón Escandell G
4 Alcalá D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
16 Iván Calero M
17 Mikel Rico M
18 D. Musto M
20 Jairo Izquierdo M
8 P. De Blasis F
10 Borja Valle F
19 A. Sadiku F
Bench (10)
11 Óscar
15 Sangalli
29 Adrian Sanmartin
3 Jaime Romero
22 Delmás
24 I. Jansson
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
1 Marc Martínez
5 Pablo Vázquez
28 Neskes

Coach: Luis Carrión

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U
3,13
B ✓
3,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.