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Allsvenskan
Referee: M Al Hakim
Elfsborg
T U U S T
1–2
Full-time
Kalmar
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Kalmar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,45 xG 0,86
42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elfsborg 11. · Kalmar 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 4 4 0 0 +11 +3.8 12
2 AIK 4 2 2 0 +3 -2.2 8
3 Brommapojkarna 4 2 1 1 +5 +2.4 7
4 Djurgarden 4 2 1 1 +3 +3.3 7
5 Mjallby 4 2 1 1 +3 +0.9 7
6 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.3 7
7 Hammarby 4 2 0 2 +2 +1.0 6
8 Sirius 4 2 0 2 +1 +2.0 6
9 GAIS 4 2 0 2 -3 +0.2 6
10 Halmstad 4 2 0 2 -3 -4.2 6
11 Elfsborg 3 1 1 1 -2 +1.3 4
12 Goteborg 4 1 1 2 -3 -0.8 4
13 Varnamo 4 1 1 2 -4 -2.7 4
14 Norrkoping 4 1 1 2 -6 -2.6 4
15 Kalmar 3 0 0 3 -4 -2.3 0
16 Vasteras SK 4 0 0 4 -4 +2.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elfsborg Kalmar
I. Buhari 🔁
↦ S. Holmén
13′
19′
🟨 Robert Gojani
39′
D. Islamović 0–1
M. Hallberg
Half-time 0–1
N. Söderberg 🔁
↦ J. Thomasen
46′
A. Qasem 🔁
↦ B. Zeneli
46′
46′
🔁 J. Ring
↦ R. Gojani
1–1 S. Hedlund
N. Söderberg
47′
48′
🔁 A. Magashy
↦ M. Hallberg
55′
S. Skrabb 1–2
A. Gersbach
J. Abdullai 🔁
↦ P. Frick
68′
Andri Fannar Baldursson 🟨
70′
G. Rapp 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
74′
Ahmed Qasem 🟨
75′
82′
🔁 K. Jensen
↦ D. Islamović
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
30 M. Bundgaard G
13 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
2 T. Yegbe D
23 N. Hult D
7 J. Thomasen M
6 A. Baldursson M
15 S. Hedlund M
27 B. Zeneli M
9 A. Zeneli M
17 P. Frick F
Bench (9)
29 I. Buhari
28 N. Söderberg
18 A. Qasem
14 J. Abdullai
20 G. Rapp
31 I. Pettersson
24 C. Jebara
16 T. Ouma
21 A. Boman

Coach: J. Thelin

Kalmar

4-3-3
1 S. Brolin G
26 A. Motaraghebjafarpour D
39 L. Sætra D
6 R. Sjöstedt D
3 A. Gersbach D
5 M. Hallberg M
23 R. Gojani M
29 Romário M
20 J. Trenskow F
9 D. Islamović F
10 S. Skrabb F
Bench (9)
21 A. Magashy
11 J. Ring
7 K. Jensen
30 J. Kindberg
27 A. Davoudi-Kia
24 W. Andersson
14 L. Braun
16 William Anderson
25 R. Jansson

Coach: H. Jensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.