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Ligue 2
Referee: E Rosier
Dunkerque
S U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Rodez
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 8
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 15. · Rodez 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Paris FC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Lorient 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Metz 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Clermont 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Pau FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Amiens 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Martigues 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Grenoble 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Red Star 2 1 0 1 -2 3
14 Laval 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Dunkerque 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Rodez 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Caen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Troyes 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Rodez
1–0 M. Rivera
K. Tejan
23′
Diogo Queirós 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
G. Yassine 🔁
↦ K. Tejan
65′
72′
🔁 M. Achi
↦ D. Mazou-Sacko
72′
🔁 I. Baldé
↦ T. Bentayeb
Vincent Sasso 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa
77′
🔁 Y. Verdier
↦ A. Ngouyamsa
U. Raghouber 🔁
↦ Y. Sekongo
79′
Y. Bammou 🔁
↦ M. Rivera
79′
81′
🟨 Abdel Hakim Abdallah
J. Senneville 🔁
↦ A. Georgen
92′
N. Skyttä 🔁
↦ E. Bardeli
92′
93′
🔁 C. Doumbia
↦ M. Bouchouari
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-3-3
1 E. Jaouen G
17 B. Youssouf D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 V. Sasso D
2 A. Georgen D
20 E. Bardeli M
5 Diogo Queirós M
15 Y. Sekongo M
9 K. Tejan F
18 G. Courtet F
8 M. Rivera F
Bench (7)
80 G. Yassine
28 U. Raghouber
19 Y. Bammou
13 J. Senneville
22 N. Skyttä
3 L. Bessilé
24 I. Koné

Coach: Luís Castro

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
24 L. Quenabio D
4 S. Mambo D
11 M. Bouchouari M
8 W. Younoussa M
19 D. Mazou-Sacko M
10 W. Taïbi M
28 A. Abdallah M
22 T. Bentayeb F
9 T. Nkada F
Bench (7)
7 M. Achi
18 I. Baldé
26 Y. Verdier
23 C. Doumbia
21 J. Chougrani
1 S. Cibois
17 A. Pelon

Coach: D. Santini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,51
U
3,23
B
2,77
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Rosier · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.