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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Ajaccio
T T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Troyes
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,0
Conceded
0,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
23 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
7 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ajaccio 11. · Troyes 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Paris FC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Lorient 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Metz 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Clermont 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Pau FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Amiens 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Martigues 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Grenoble 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Red Star 2 1 0 1 -2 3
14 Laval 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Dunkerque 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Rodez 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Caen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Troyes 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Troyes
12′
R. Saïd 0–1
Moussa Soumano 🟨
25′
Axel Bamba 🟨
34′
Christopher Ibayi 🟨
35′
Julien Anziani 🟨
35′
45′
🟥 Mathis Hamdi
Half-time 0–1
M. Barreto 🔁
↦ A. Bamba
46′
46′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ J. Assoumou
Stephen Quemper 🟨
48′
1–1 C. Ibayi
52′
Y. Touzghar 🔁
↦ M. Soumano
61′
65′
🔁 M. Tahrat
↦ C. Irié
74′
🔁 P. Ba
↦ R. Saïd
Thomas Mangani 🟨
84′
M. Youssouf 🔁
↦ T. Strata
86′
M. Puch-Herrantz 🔁
↦ J. Anziani
86′
2–1 Y. Touzghar
89′
90′
🔁 R. Ripart
↦ J. Diaz
91′
🔁 I. Traoré
↦ X. Chavalerin
Mickaël Barreto 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ajaccio

5-3-2
30 G. Quilichini G
5 C. Vidal D
31 J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze D
23 T. Strata D
88 A. Bamba D
3 S. Quemper D
25 J. Anziani M
6 T. Mangani M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
9 C. Ibayi F
22 M. Soumano F
Bench (7)
4 M. Barreto
7 Y. Touzghar
20 M. Youssouf
8 M. Puch-Herrantz
35 A. Khelifa
1 M. Michel
43 K. Kouassi

Coach: M. Chabert

Troyes

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Boucher G
14 I. Boura D
17 Houboulang Mendes D
4 J. Diaz D
18 M. Hamdi D
42 A. Kanté M
7 X. Chavalerin M
21 C. Irié M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
15 J. Assoumou F
Bench (7)
8 M. Diop
5 M. Tahrat
25 P. Ba
34 I. Traoré
20 R. Ripart
28 R. Fage
30 C. Michel

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,07
U
3,03
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,62
U2,5
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.